je.st
news
Tag: hilda
Tropical Storm Hilda Public Advisory Number 4
2021-07-31 16:49:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sat Jul 31 2021 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 311449 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Hilda Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082021 800 AM PDT Sat Jul 31 2021 ...HILDA STRENGTHENING QUICKLY... ...ALMOST A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.7N 116.7W ABOUT 775 MI...1250 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hilda was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 116.7 West. Hilda is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general heading with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional steady or rapid strengthening is forecast through Sunday, with Hilda expected to become a hurricane later today. Some weakening is anticipated to begin on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast Advisory Number 4
2021-07-31 16:49:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUL 31 2021 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 311449 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 1500 UTC SAT JUL 31 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 116.7W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 40SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 75SE 30SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 116.7W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 116.2W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.0N 118.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.4N 119.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.0N 121.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.5N 122.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.1N 124.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.9N 125.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 18.5N 128.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 19.3N 132.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 116.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm Hilda Graphics
2021-07-31 10:38:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 31 Jul 2021 08:38:11 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 31 Jul 2021 09:23:51 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
hilda
Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast Discussion Number 3
2021-07-31 10:36:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Sat Jul 31 2021 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 310836 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082021 200 AM PDT Sat Jul 31 2021 A prominent convective band now wraps about halfway around the southeast to west side of Hilda's center, and another band is taking shape to the north of the center. With the improved organization, Dvorak estimates increased to a consensus T3.0/45 kt from TAFB and SAB, and a 0520 UTC ASCAT-B pass confirmed that indeed maximum winds are about 45 kt. This is being set as Hilda's initial intensity, although it could be a little conservative since objective ADT estimates have trended higher than that since 0600 UTC. A mid-tropospheric ridge currently extends from northern Mexico westward across the Baja California peninsula to about 120W and is steering Hilda west-northwestward at 290/12 kt. Although this ridge is expected to build westward and keep Hilda on a west-northwestward course, potential interactions with Tropical Depression Nine-E to the west and another low pressure area to the east could cause the storm to slow down over the next 3 days and oscillate a bit around that general heading. There is slightly more spread among the track models than is typical, with the HWRF a notable southern outlier and the GFS and HMON models having some of the faster solutions due to greater interaction with T.D. Nine-E. That being said, the overall track guidance has trended a little slower and farther south on this cycle, and the updated NHC track forecast has therefore been adjusted in that direction from the previous forecast, lying close to the TVCE multi-model consensus but not nearly as far south as the HCCA consensus aid. Hilda is currently in a light-shear regime and over sea surface temperatures of about 29 degrees Celsius, so continued strengthening is anticipated in the short term with Hilda likely to reach hurricane strength by tonight or early Sunday. However, global models are suggesting that the shear may increase out of the east during the next 24 hours, and then Hilda will be near cooler waters in 2 to 3 days. Therefore, Hilda is likely to reach its peak intensity in about 48 hours, and the NHC intensity forecast at that time is near the upper end of the guidance suite. Hilda is expected to move over even cooler waters after 48 hours, which should cause a gradual weakening trend through the end of the forecast period. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 31/0900Z 13.3N 115.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 31/1800Z 13.6N 117.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 01/0600Z 14.1N 119.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 01/1800Z 14.6N 120.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 02/0600Z 15.1N 122.3W 75 KT 85 MPH 60H 02/1800Z 15.7N 123.7W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 03/0600Z 16.3N 124.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 04/0600Z 17.8N 127.6W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 05/0600Z 18.9N 131.5W 45 KT 50 MPH $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm Hilda (EP3/EP082021)
2021-07-31 10:35:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...HILDA STRENGTHENING... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sat Jul 31 the center of Hilda was located near 13.3, -115.7 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
hilda
Sites : [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] next »