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Tropical Storm KARINA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2014-08-16 22:38:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 16 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 162038 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 2100 UTC SAT AUG 16 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Summary for Tropical Storm KARINA (EP1/EP112014)
2014-08-16 22:37:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KARINA A LITTLE WEAKER BUT FORECAST TO RE-STRENGTHEN... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sat Aug 16 the center of KARINA was located near 17.9, -125.0 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm KARINA Forecast Advisory Number 16
2014-08-16 22:37:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 16 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 162037 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 2100 UTC SAT AUG 16 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 125.0W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 50SE 60SW 110NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 125.0W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 124.5W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.7N 126.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.5N 128.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.0N 129.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.5N 131.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 15.5N 132.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 15.5N 132.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 125.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Storm KARINA Graphics
2014-08-16 16:34:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 16 Aug 2014 14:34:10 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 16 Aug 2014 14:32:44 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm KARINA (EP1/EP112014)
2014-08-16 16:32:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KARINA EXPECTED TO LAST MANY MORE DAYS... As of 8:00 AM PDT Sat Aug 16 the center of KARINA was located near 18.3, -124.1 with movement W at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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