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Summary for Tropical Storm KARINA (EP1/EP112014)
2014-08-18 10:47:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KARINA MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FAR FROM LAND... As of 2:00 AM PDT Mon Aug 18 the center of KARINA was located near 17.1, -131.5 with movement WSW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm KARINA Public Advisory Number 22
2014-08-18 10:47:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT MON AUG 18 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 180847 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARINA ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 200 AM PDT MON AUG 18 2014 ...KARINA MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FAR FROM LAND... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 131.5W ABOUT 1555 MI...2505 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.5 WEST. KARINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A SLOWER WEST-SOUTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Storm KARINA Graphics
2014-08-18 05:09:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 18 Aug 2014 02:40:13 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 18 Aug 2014 03:04:45 GMT
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Tropical Storm KARINA Forecast Discussion Number 21
2014-08-18 04:37:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 180237 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 800 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014 Karina's cloud pattern has changed little in organization over the past several hours. The system remains a sheared tropical cyclone, with all of the deep convection displaced to the west-southwest of the low-level center. The intensity is kept at 40 kt for this advisory, which is only slightly above the most recent Dvorak estimates and is consistent with earlier scatterometer data. The easterly shear over Karina is due to a combination of an upper-level anticyclone to the north-northeast and the outflow from a developing system to the east. The global models indicate that the anticyclone will shift eastward and weaken, which could result in some decrease in shear. However since Karina will be traversing marginal sea surface temperatures during the next several days, only slight strengthening is predicted. This is the same as the previous official wind speed forecast and very close to the latest intensity model consensus. The storm continues to move west-southwestward with gradually decreasing forward speed, and the initial motion estimate is 255/10 kt. A weak mid-level ridge to the north of the storm should maintain a west-southwestward to westward heading for the next couple of days. However, the interaction with the developing cyclone to the east and another, weaker, disturbance to the west of Karina should result in a slowing of the forward motion. Around the end of the forecast period, a broad fetch of west-southwesterly flow feeding into the larger cyclone to the northeast should cause Karina to reverse its heading and move northeastward. The new official track forecast is somewhat farther west of the previous one at days 2-5, but not as far west as the latest track model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/0300Z 17.5N 130.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 18/1200Z 17.0N 131.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 19/0000Z 16.5N 133.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 19/1200Z 16.4N 134.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 20/0000Z 16.4N 134.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 21/0000Z 16.5N 136.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 22/0000Z 16.5N 136.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 120H 23/0000Z 17.5N 135.0W 45 KT 50 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Summary for Tropical Storm KARINA (EP1/EP112014)
2014-08-18 04:36:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KARINA CONTINUES WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 8:00 PM PDT Sun Aug 17 the center of KARINA was located near 17.5, -130.4 with movement WSW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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