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Tropical Storm Fernand Graphics
2019-09-04 01:52:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 03 Sep 2019 23:52:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 03 Sep 2019 21:32:46 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Fernand (AT2/AL072019)
2019-09-04 01:51:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS FERNAND A LITTLE STRONGER... ...FERNAND EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY... As of 7:00 PM CDT Tue Sep 3 the center of Fernand was located near 23.2, -96.3 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Fernand Public Advisory Number 3A
2019-09-04 01:51:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Tue Sep 03 2019 000 WTNT32 KNHC 032351 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fernand Intermediate Advisory Number 3A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072019 700 PM CDT Tue Sep 03 2019 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS FERNAND A LITTLE STRONGER... ...FERNAND EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.2N 96.3W ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO ABOUT 105 MI...265 KM E OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.52 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Puerto Altamira to the Mouth of the Rio Grande River A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. Interests elsewhere along the eastern coast of Mexico and the lower Texas coast should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fernand was located near latitude 23.2 North, longitude 96.3 West. Fernand is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue tonight with some decrease in forward speed. A motion toward the west-northwest is forecast on Wednesday, followed by a motion toward the northwest on Wednesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Fernand is expected to cross the northeastern coast of Mexico on Wednesday night. Preliminary data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter plane indicate that Fernand is stregthening and the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is possible before Fernand moves inland. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) mainly to the west of the center. The preliminary minimum central pressure reported by the NOAA Hurricane Hunter plane was 1000 mb (29.52 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area late tonight or early Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Squalls with gusts to tropical-storm force are likely north of the warning area along portions of the lower Texas coast. RAINFALL: Fernand is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through Friday: Northeast Mexico: 6 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches, highest in the Sierra Madre Oriental of Tamaulipas and Nuevo Leon. This rainfall may cause life-threatening mudslides and flash floods. South Texas and the Lower Texas Coast: 2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches. TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible across far South Texas through Wednesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Summary for Tropical Storm Fernand (AT2/AL072019)
2019-09-03 19:49:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM FERNAND... As of 1:00 PM CDT Tue Sep 3 the center of Fernand was located near 23.5, -95.3 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Fernand Public Advisory Number 2A
2019-09-03 19:49:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Tue Sep 03 2019 000 WTNT32 KNHC 031749 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fernand Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072019 100 PM CDT Tue Sep 03 2019 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM FERNAND... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 95.3W ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM ENE OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the northeast coast of Mexico from La Pesca to Barra del Tordo and from Barra El Mezquital to the Mouth of the Rio Grande River. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Barra del Tordo to the Mouth of the Rio Grande River A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere along the northeastern coast of Mexico and the lower Texas coast should monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches or warnings could be required later today for portions of these areas. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fernand was located near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 95.3 West. Fernand is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue today. A motion toward the west-northwest is forecast tonight and Wednesday. This motion could bring the center of Fernand near or over the coast of northeastern Mexico late Wednesday. Recent satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional slow strengthening is forecast before the system moves inland. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Fernand this afternoon to provide more information on the intensity. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (170 km) mainly to the west of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area late tonight or early Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Squalls with gusts to tropical-storm force are likely north of the warning area along portions of the northeastern coast of Mexico and the lower Texas coast. RAINFALL: Fernand is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through Friday: Northeast Mexico: 6 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches, highest in the Sierra Madre Oriental of Tamaulipas and Nuevo Leon. This rainfall may cause life-threatening mudslides and flash floods. South Texas and the Lower Texas Coast: 2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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