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Tropical Depression Fernand Public Advisory Number 7
2019-09-04 22:33:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019 000 WTNT32 KNHC 042033 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fernand Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072019 400 PM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019 ...FERNAND PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... ...THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.4N 98.3W ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM NW OF LA PESCA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning from Puerto Altamira to the Mouth of the Rio Grande River. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fernand was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 98.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). This general motion is forecast to continue through tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. A steady decrease in winds is anticipated and Fernand will likely dissipate tonight or early Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Fernand is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through Thursday: Northeast Mexico: Tamaulipas and Central/Southern Nuevo Leon...6 to 12 inches, isolated 18 inches. Greatest amounts in the Sierra Madre Oriental. This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Northern Nuevo Leon and Southern Coahuila: 2 to 5 inches. United States: South Texas and the Lower Texas Coast...Additional 1 to 3 inches, isolated storm totals 6 inches. WIND: Gusty winds are still possible along the northeast Mexico and southern Texas coast through tonight. TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible across far South Texas through this evening. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Depression Fernand Forecast Advisory Number 7
2019-09-04 22:33:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 04 2019 000 WTNT22 KNHC 042033 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FERNAND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072019 2100 UTC WED SEP 04 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUERTO ALTAMIRA TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE RIVER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 98.3W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 98.3W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 98.1W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.0N 100.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 98.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Storm Fernand Graphics
2019-09-04 19:38:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 04 Sep 2019 17:38:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 04 Sep 2019 15:32:15 GMT
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Tropical Storm Fernand Public Advisory Number 6A
2019-09-04 19:38:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019 000 WTNT32 KNHC 041738 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fernand Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072019 100 PM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019 ...FERNAND MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.3N 97.9W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF LA PESCA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Puerto Altamira to the Mouth of the Rio Grande River Interests along the lower Texas coast should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fernand was located near latitude 24.3 North, longitude 97.9 West. Fernand is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A motion toward the west or west-northwest is expected today, and the center of Fernand will move farther inland over northeastern Mexico through tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected as Fernand move farther inland, and the system is forecast to dissipate over northeastern Mexico tonight or Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Fernand is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through Friday: Northeast Mexico: Tamaulipas and Central/Southern Nuevo Leon: 6 to 12 inches with isolated 18 inches, highest along the immediate Gulf Coast and in the Sierra Madre Oriental. This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Northern Nuevo Leon and Southern Coahuila: 3 to 6 inches. South Texas and the Lower Texas Coast: 2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of the warning area through this afternoon. Squalls with gusts to tropical storm force are likely north of the warning area along portions of the lower Texas coast. TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible across far South Texas through this evening. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Summary for Tropical Storm Fernand (AT2/AL072019)
2019-09-04 18:38:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...FERNAND MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... As of 11:35 AM CDT Wed Sep 4 the center of Fernand was located near 24.3, -97.7 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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