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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 20
2020-10-23 22:50:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 23 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 232050 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 2100 UTC FRI OCT 23 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 61.7W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT.......150NE 70SE 50SW 150NW. 34 KT.......240NE 240SE 120SW 240NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 360SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 61.7W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 61.6W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 37.0N 61.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 130NW. 34 KT...260NE 260SE 160SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 38.9N 59.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 60SE 50SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 130SE 120SW 70NW. 34 KT...250NE 260SE 220SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 41.9N 53.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 160SE 120SW 20NW. 34 KT...240NE 300SE 280SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 45.6N 45.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 150SE 150SW 30NW. 34 KT...240NE 370SE 330SW 260NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 50.0N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 120SE 120SW 90NW. 34 KT...270NE 410SE 420SW 400NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 54.0N 24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 150SW 120NW. 34 KT...260NE 410SE 540SW 540NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.5N 61.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/PAPIN
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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 19
2020-10-23 16:49:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Fri Oct 23 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 231449 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 1100 AM AST Fri Oct 23 2020 ...EPSILON MOVING NORTHWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.1N 61.6W ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM NE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 34.1 North, longitude 61.6 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h). A general northward motion with increasing forward speed is expected through early Saturday, with a very fast forward motion toward the northeast early next week. Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength could occur for the next day or so before gradual weakening begins on Sunday. Epsilon could lose tropical characteristics late Sunday. Epsilon remains a large tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles (405 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake/Papin
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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 19
2020-10-23 16:49:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 23 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 231449 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 1500 UTC FRI OCT 23 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 61.6W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT.......220NE 220SE 120SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 360SE 360SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 61.6W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 61.6W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 35.6N 61.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...230NE 220SE 150SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 37.5N 60.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 100SE 90SW 70NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 180SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 40.3N 56.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 70SE 50SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW 40NW. 34 KT...250NE 270SE 250SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 43.7N 49.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 160SE 130SW 50NW. 34 KT...270NE 360SE 340SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 48.1N 39.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 120SE 150SW 60NW. 34 KT...290NE 390SE 410SW 340NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 52.5N 27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 100SE 150SW 100NW. 34 KT...320NE 390SE 570SW 450NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 61.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/PAPIN
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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 18
2020-10-23 10:34:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Fri Oct 23 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 230834 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 500 AM AST Fri Oct 23 2020 ...EPSILON MOVING NORTHWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.1N 61.6W ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM ENE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- t 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 33.1 North, longitude 61.6 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A generally northward motion with increasing forward speed is expected through early Saturday, with an even faster motion toward the northeast later that day. The center of Epsilon will continue to move away from Bermuda. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength could occur for the next day or so before gradual weakening begins on Saturday. Epsilon remains a large storm system. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles (405 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 18
2020-10-23 10:34:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 23 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 230834 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 0900 UTC FRI OCT 23 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 61.6W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT.......220NE 220SE 120SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..600NE 360SE 600SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 61.6W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 61.6W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.7N 61.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...220NE 220SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 36.7N 61.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...230NE 230SE 150SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 38.8N 58.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 180SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 42.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 10NW. 50 KT...100NE 130SE 120SW 70NW. 34 KT...250NE 280SE 260SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 46.0N 45.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 130SE 120SW 30NW. 34 KT...250NE 310SE 300SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 49.9N 34.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 140SE 140SW 30NW. 34 KT...320NE 360SE 360SW 270NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 61.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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