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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 9A
2020-10-21 13:43:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM AST Wed Oct 21 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 211142 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Intermediate Advisory Number 9A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 800 AM AST Wed Oct 21 2020 ...EPSILON COULD STRENGTHEN A LITTLE MORE TODAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.9N 58.8W ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Epsilon was located by satellite images near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 58.8 West. Epsilon has taken a westward jog this morning but is generally moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A west-northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected today. A turn toward the northwest is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the north by Thursday night. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon is forecast to make its closest approach to Bermuda Thursday afternoon or evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today, followed by little change in strength into the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 435 miles (705 km) mainly to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda on Thursday. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands, and are expected to reach portions of the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Blake
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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 9
2020-10-21 10:52:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Oct 21 2020 641 WTNT32 KNHC 210852 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 500 AM AST Wed Oct 21 2020 ...EPSILON HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED... ...BUT THIS STRENGTHENING TREND SHOULD BEGIN TO EASE SOON... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.9N 58.3W ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 58.3 West. Epsilon is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion at a slower forward speed is expected through today. A turn toward the northwest is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the north by Thursday night. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon is forecast to make its closest approach to Bermuda Thursday afternoon or evening. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today, followed by little change in strength into the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 435 miles (705 km) mainly to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda on Thursday. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands, and are expected to reach portions of the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 9
2020-10-21 10:51:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 21 2020 356 WTNT22 KNHC 210851 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 0900 UTC WED OCT 21 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 58.3W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......380NE 80SE 50SW 300NW. 12 FT SEAS..750NE 390SE 510SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 58.3W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 57.7W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.5N 59.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...310NE 100SE 70SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 30.4N 60.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...250NE 140SE 90SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.8N 61.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 90SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 33.1N 61.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.3N 61.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...210NE 160SE 110SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 35.8N 61.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...230NE 180SE 140SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 40.0N 55.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 46.0N 39.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N 58.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 8A
2020-10-21 07:46:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST Wed Oct 21 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 210545 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 200 AM AST Wed Oct 21 2020 ...EPSILON MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.8N 57.6W ABOUT 490 MI...785 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 28.8 North, longitude 57.6 West. Epsilon is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue this morning, followed by a slightly slower west-northwestward motion later today. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Thursday. On the forecast track, Epsilon is forecast to move closer to Bermuda on Thursday and make its closest approach to the island Thursday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km), mainly to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Thursday. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon are expected to affect Bermuda for the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 8
2020-10-21 04:35:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Tue Oct 20 2020 565 WTNT32 KNHC 210235 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 1100 PM AST Tue Oct 20 2020 ...EPSILON STRENGTHENS INTO A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.5N 56.8W ABOUT 545 MI...875 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 28.5 North, longitude 56.8 West. Epsilon is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue tonight, followed by a slightly slower west-northwestward motion on Wednesday. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Thursday. On the forecast track, Epsilon is forecast to move closer to Bermuda on Thursday and make its closest approach to the island on Thursday night. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or two. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km), mainly to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Thursday. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon are expected to affect Bermuda for the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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