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Tropical Storm Epsilon Public Advisory Number 3
2020-10-19 22:47:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Mon Oct 19 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 192047 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Epsilon Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 500 PM AST Mon Oct 19 2020 ...EPSILON REMAINS STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.5N 55.5W ABOUT 730 MI...1180 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warning in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Epsilon was located near latitude 25.5 North, longitude 55.5 West. Epsilon is nearly stationary. A slow northward motion is expected tonight, followed by a northwestward or west-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed through midweek. On the forecast track, Epsilon is forecast to approach Bermuda on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and Epsilon is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength on Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km), primarily to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Epsilon are expected to affect Bermuda for the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Brown
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Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 3
2020-10-19 22:46:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 19 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 192046 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 2100 UTC MON OCT 19 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 55.5W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......240NE 60SE 0SW 240NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 60SE 30SW 390NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 55.5W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 55.4W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.9N 55.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...250NE 90SE 0SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 27.0N 56.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...270NE 100SE 40SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 28.1N 57.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...270NE 110SE 60SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.8N 59.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 20SW 70NW. 34 KT...210NE 100SE 80SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.8N 60.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.1N 61.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 32.8N 62.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 35.5N 62.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 55.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BROWN
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Tropical Storm Epsilon Public Advisory Number 2
2020-10-19 16:53:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 19 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 191453 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Epsilon Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 19 2020 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM EPSILON... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.6N 55.3W ABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warning in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Epsilon was located near latitude 25.6 North, longitude 55.3 West. Epsilon is stationary and little overall motion is expected through tonight. A slow west-northwestward to northwestward motion should begin on Tuesday, and this motion should continue through midweek. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and Epsilon is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength by early Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) primarily to the northeast and east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 2
2020-10-19 16:53:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 19 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 191452 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 1500 UTC MON OCT 19 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 55.3W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 0SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 60SE 0SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 55.3W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 55.3W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 25.8N 55.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 0SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.4N 55.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 40SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.6N 56.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...210NE 90SE 40SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 28.3N 58.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 90SE 60SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.1N 59.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 100SE 80SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.2N 60.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 120SE 90SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 32.3N 62.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 34.5N 63.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 55.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression Twenty-Seven Public Advisory Number 1
2020-10-19 13:53:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM AST Mon Oct 19 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 191153 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-Seven Special Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 800 AM AST Mon Oct 19 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.8N 55.5W ABOUT 720 MI...1155 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warning in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-Seven was located near latitude 25.8 North, longitude 55.5 West. The depression is stationary and little overall motion is expected through tonight. A slow west-northwestward to northwestward motion should begin on Tuesday, and this motion should continue through midweek. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today or tonight and be at or near hurricane strength by early Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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