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Tropical Depression Twenty-Seven Forecast Advisory Number 1

2020-10-19 13:53:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1200 UTC MON OCT 19 2020 410 WTNT22 KNHC 191153 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 1200 UTC MON OCT 19 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 55.5W AT 19/1200Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 55.5W AT 19/1200Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 55.6W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 25.8N 55.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 26.0N 55.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 0SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.9N 55.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 40SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 28.0N 57.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 80SE 40SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.6N 59.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...210NE 90SE 60SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.5N 60.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 90SE 90SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 31.7N 62.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 33.5N 63.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 55.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Norbert Public Advisory Number 26

2020-10-15 10:31:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT Thu Oct 15 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 150831 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Norbert Advisory Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192020 200 AM PDT Thu Oct 15 2020 ...NORBERT BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.2N 116.1W ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM SSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Norbert was located near latitude 26.2 North, longitude 116.1 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue until dissipation occurs later today or tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast and the remnant low is expected to dissipate later today or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Norbert. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Brown

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Norbert Forecast Advisory Number 26

2020-10-15 10:30:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 15 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 150830 TCMEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192020 0900 UTC THU OCT 15 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 116.1W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 116.1W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 115.9W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.1N 116.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 116.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON NORBERT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Depression Norbert Public Advisory Number 25

2020-10-15 04:37:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 PM PDT Wed Oct 14 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 150237 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Norbert Advisory Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192020 800 PM PDT Wed Oct 14 2020 ...NORBERT FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW OVERNIGHT... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.7N 115.7W ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Norbert was located near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 115.7 West. Norbert is moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A decrease in forward speed is expected overnight and on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected, and Norbert is forecast to become a remnant low overnight. The remnant low is then expected to dissipate Thursday afternoon or evening. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Tropical Depression Norbert Forecast Advisory Number 25

2020-10-15 04:36:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 15 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 150236 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192020 0300 UTC THU OCT 15 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 115.7W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 115.7W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 115.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 26.7N 116.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 115.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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