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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 17
2020-10-23 04:31:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 230231 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 1100 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON PASSING WELL EAST OF BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.6N 61.6W ABOUT 190 MI...300 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Bermuda. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 32.6 North, longitude 61.6 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A generally northward motion with increasing forward speed is expected through early Saturday, with an even faster motion toward the northeast later that day. The center of Epsilon will be moving away from Bermuda overnight. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength are expected for the next day or two before gradual weakening begins by late Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Winds at Bermuda will subside overnight. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 17
2020-10-23 04:31:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 23 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 230231 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 0300 UTC FRI OCT 23 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 61.6W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......180NE 210SE 120SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..600NE 360SE 560SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 61.6W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 61.5W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 33.8N 61.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 130SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 35.8N 61.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...230NE 220SE 150SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 37.8N 60.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 180SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 40.5N 56.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 10NW. 50 KT...100NE 130SE 120SW 70NW. 34 KT...250NE 280SE 260SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 44.3N 50.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 130SE 120SW 30NW. 34 KT...250NE 310SE 300SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 48.4N 41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 140SE 140SW 30NW. 34 KT...320NE 360SE 360SW 270NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N 61.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 16A
2020-10-23 01:49:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 222349 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Intermediate Advisory Number 16A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 800 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON COULD STILL PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER BERMUDA THROUGH TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.2N 61.5W ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 32.2 North, longitude 61.5 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A general northward motion is expected through early Saturday with a faster motion toward the northeast later that day. The center of Epsilon will continue to pass well east of Bermuda tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength are expected for the next day or two before gradual weakening begins by late Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). An observation site near Heritage Wharf, Bermuda, reported a sustained wind of 31 mph (50 km/h) and a gust to 52 mph (83 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch/Roberts
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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 16
2020-10-22 22:33:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 222033 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 500 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON STILL COULD PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA THROUGH TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.9N 61.4W ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 61.4 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A general northward motion is expected through early Saturday with a faster motion toward the northeast later that day. The center of Epsilon will pass well east of Bermuda tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength are expected for the next couple of days before gradual weakening starts on Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake/Papin
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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 15A
2020-10-22 19:37:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 221737 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Intermediate Advisory Number 15A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 200 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST... ...SHOULD PASS WELL EAST OF BERMUDA BUT CAUSE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.5N 61.2W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 31.5 North, longitude 61.2 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). This general motion is expected today, followed by a northward motion tonight through Friday night, and an acceleration toward the northeast over the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon should make its closest approach to, but well to the east of, Bermuda later this evening. Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next couple of days, with gradual weakening forecast by early next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake/Papin
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