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Hurricane Paulette Public Advisory Number 35

2020-09-15 16:37:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 15 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 151437 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Paulette Advisory Number 35 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 15 2020 ...PAULETTE HEADING NORTHEASTWARD AT AN EVEN FASTER PACE... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.3N 57.9W ABOUT 570 MI...915 KM NE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Paulette was located near latitude 38.3 North, longitude 57.9 West. Paulette is moving toward the northeast near 29 mph (46 km/h). A faster motion toward the east-northeast is expected through Thursday. Afterward, Paulette is forecast to slow down and turn toward the east-southeast and south-southeast late Thursday and Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible through tonight, but rapid weakening is forecast to begin on Wednesday as the cyclone undergoes extratropical transition. Paulette should complete its transition to an extratropical cyclone on Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Paulette will continue to affect portions of Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the east coast of the United States through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Hurricane Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 35

2020-09-15 16:37:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 151436 TCMAT2 HURRICANE PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 1500 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 57.9W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 25 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 100SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT.......150NE 200SE 130SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 360SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 57.9W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 59.3W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 40.1N 53.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 200SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 42.7N 46.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 170SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 45.0N 40.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 200SE 170SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 46.2N 35.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 45.6N 33.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 170SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 43.9N 33.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 140SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 39.9N 32.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 37.0N 31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N 57.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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Tropical Storm Teddy Public Advisory Number 12

2020-09-15 16:34:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 15 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 151433 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Teddy Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 15 2020 ...TEDDY WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.0N 47.0W ABOUT 960 MI...1545 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Teddy was located near latitude 14.0 North, longitude 47.0 West. Teddy is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A steady northwest motion at 10 to 15 mph is expected through the end of the week. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast for the next several days. Teddy will likely become a hurricane later today or tonight and could reach major hurricane strength in a few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Tropical Storm Teddy are expected to reach the Lesser Antilles and the northeastern coast of South America on Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Tropical Storm Teddy Forecast Advisory Number 12

2020-09-15 16:33:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 151433 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 1500 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 47.0W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT.......140NE 60SE 40SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 47.0W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 46.6W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.9N 48.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 50SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.1N 49.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 70SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.4N 50.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.9N 52.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.3N 53.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.5N 55.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 24.0N 57.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 27.1N 60.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 47.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Storm Karina Public Advisory Number 11

2020-09-15 16:33:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT Tue Sep 15 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 151432 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Karina Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162020 800 AM PDT Tue Sep 15 2020 ...KARINA FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING SOON... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.4N 121.1W ABOUT 740 MI...1190 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karina was located near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 121.1 West. Karina is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. A turn to the west and then toward the west-southwest is expected late this week. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Gradual weakening should begin by tonight, and Karina is forecast to become a remnant low in two or three days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Latto

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