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Tropical Depression Seven Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2020-07-22 10:32:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 22 2020 000 FONT12 KNHC 220832 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072020 0900 UTC WED JUL 22 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) X(16) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) GRENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) GRENADA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15) TRINIDADTOBAGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Summary for Tropical Depression Seven (AT2/AL072020)
2020-07-22 10:32:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...SMALL DEPRESSION CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Jul 22 the center of Seven was located near 10.0, -42.4 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Seven Public Advisory Number 3
2020-07-22 10:32:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Jul 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 220832 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Seven Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072020 500 AM AST Wed Jul 22 2020 ...SMALL DEPRESSION CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.0N 42.4W ABOUT 1285 MI...2065 KM E OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Interests in the Windward Islands should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seven was located near latitude 10.0 North, longitude 42.4 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A generally westward motion at a faster forward speed is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Depression Seven Forecast Advisory Number 3
2020-07-22 10:31:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 22 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 220831 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072020 0900 UTC WED JUL 22 2020 INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 42.4W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 42.4W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 41.9W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 10.2N 44.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 10.2N 46.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 10.2N 49.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 10.4N 51.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 10.8N 54.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 11.3N 57.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 12.7N 64.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 15.0N 70.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 42.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Depression Seven Graphics
2020-07-22 04:38:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 22 Jul 2020 02:38:04 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 22 Jul 2020 02:38:04 GMT
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