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Home › tropical depression

 

Tag: tropical depression

Tropical Depression Five Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2019-08-24 16:42:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 24 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 241442 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 1500 UTC SAT AUG 24 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 29(39) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 24(34) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 28(43) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 12(27) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SABA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 14(33) SABA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) SABA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 13(33) ST EUSTATIUS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) ST EUSTATIUS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 11(34) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 5(23) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 5(30) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 28(33) 3(36) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 36(38) 17(55) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 10(23) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 39(49) 3(52) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 36(52) 2(54) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 1(19) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 30(47) 2(49) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 1(19) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 24(36) 1(37) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 31(32) 11(43) X(43) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) X(15) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) X(16) GRENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) GRENADA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

Tags: number speed wind tropical

Tropical Depression Five Forecast Advisory Number 1

2019-08-24 16:40:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 24 2019 000 WTNT25 KNHC 241440 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 1500 UTC SAT AUG 24 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 47.9W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 47.9W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 47.4W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 10.7N 49.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 11.0N 51.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 11.4N 53.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 12.0N 55.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.6N 59.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 15.2N 63.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 17.1N 66.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.4N 47.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

Tags: number advisory tropical depression

Tropical Depression Chantal Graphics

2019-08-23 22:35:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 23 Aug 2019 20:35:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:24:26 GMT

Tags: graphics tropical depression tropical depression

Tropical Depression Chantal Forecast Discussion Number 12

2019-08-23 22:34:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Aug 23 2019 589 WTNT44 KNHC 232034 TCDAT4 Tropical Depression Chantal Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042019 500 PM AST Fri Aug 23 2019 Chantal is now producing only isolated showers and thunderstorms, and the low-level circulation is gradually becoming less well defined. The depression should decay to a remnant low during the next several hours. The remnant low is expected to dissipate by 72 h, which again is unchanged from the previous forecast. The initial motion is now 170/6. Chantal or its remnants should turn southwest and west during the next 24-48 hours as the subtropical ridge re-forms north and east of the system. After that, a slow motion toward the northwest is expected before the system dissipates completely. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/2100Z 36.0N 40.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 24/0600Z 35.5N 41.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 24/1800Z 35.3N 42.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 25/0600Z 35.4N 43.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 25/1800Z 35.7N 44.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: number discussion tropical depression

Tropical Depression Chantal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

2019-08-23 22:34:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI AUG 23 2019 000 FONT14 KNHC 232033 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042019 2100 UTC FRI AUG 23 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

Tags: number speed wind tropical

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