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Tropical Depression Fifteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2017-09-11 22:32:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 112032 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152017 2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 112.3W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 112.3W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 111.7W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.2N 114.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.8N 116.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.4N 118.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.3N 119.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.7N 121.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 16.0N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 112.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Tropical Depression Katia Graphics
2017-09-09 13:59:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 09 Sep 2017 11:59:45 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 09 Sep 2017 11:14:25 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Katia (AT3/AL132017)
2017-09-09 13:46:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...KATIA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION NEAR THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS... ...HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES... As of 7:00 AM CDT Sat Sep 9 the center of Katia was located near 20.1, -97.7 with movement WSW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Katia Public Advisory Number 15A
2017-09-09 13:46:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 AM CDT Sat Sep 09 2017 000 WTNT33 KNHC 091146 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Katia Intermediate Advisory Number 15A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132017 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 700 AM CDT Sat Sep 09 2017 ...KATIA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION NEAR THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS... ...HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 97.7W ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF TAMPICO MEXICO ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM WNW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued all Tropical Storm Warnings. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: None. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Katia was located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 97.7 West. Katia is moving toward the west-southwest near 2 mph (4 km/h) and it is expected to continue drifting toward the west-southwest until dissipation. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Katia is expected to dissipate over the mountains of Mexico later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Katia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over northern Veracruz, eastern Hidalgo, and Puebla. Katia is also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 5 inches over southern Tamaulipas, eastern San Luis Potosi, western Hidalgo, eastern Queretaro, and southern Veracruz through Saturday evening. Isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches are possible in northern Veracruz, eastern Hidalgo, Puebla, and San Luis Potosi. This rainfall will likely cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. STORM SURGE: Water levels along the coast should continue to decrease as the center dissipates and winds subside. SURF: Swells generated by Katia will begin to decrease along the coast of southeastern Mexico today. These swells may still cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster R Ballard
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Tropical Depression Katia Forecast Advisory Number 15
2017-09-09 13:09:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017 000 WTNT23 KNHC 091108 CCB TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 0900 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017 CORRECTED FORMAT OF 12 AND 24 H FORECAST STATUS CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * RIO PANUCO TO PUERTO VERACRUZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 97.5W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 97.5W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 97.4W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.2N 97.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 97.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER LAMERS/ROTH
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