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Tropical Depression KAREN Forecast Advisory Number 12
2013-10-06 04:34:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN OCT 06 2013 000 WTNT22 KNHC 060234 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122013 0300 UTC SUN OCT 06 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS OR WATCHES IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE AT WEATHER.GOV. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 91.9W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 91.9W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 91.9W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 28.7N 90.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 29.1N 88.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.3N 86.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.5N 83.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.1N 91.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Summary for Tropical Storm KAREN (AT2/AL122013)
2013-10-06 01:40:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...KAREN STATIONARY SOUTH OF LOUISIANA...... As of 7:00 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 the center of KAREN was located near 28.1, -91.7 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm KAREN Public Advisory Number 11A
2013-10-06 01:40:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 PM CDT SAT OCT 05 2013 000 WTNT32 KNHC 052340 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KAREN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122013 700 PM CDT SAT OCT 05 2013 ...KAREN STATIONARY SOUTH OF LOUISIANA...... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.1N 91.7W ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM WSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST. KAREN HAS BEEN STATIONARY THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON SUNDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST IS FORECAST MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KAREN WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF COAST FROM ALABAMA TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KAREN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY...AND BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY MONDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM... MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY IN RAINBANDS. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...1 TO 3 FT THE HIGHEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...KAREN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...MAINLY NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm KAREN Forecast Advisory Number 11
2013-10-05 22:43:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 05 2013 000 WTNT22 KNHC 052043 CCA TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122013 2100 UTC SAT OCT 05 2013 CORRECTED DEFINITION OF TROPICAL STORM WARNING CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA. ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 91.7W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 91.7W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 91.8W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 28.6N 91.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 29.3N 89.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 29.6N 87.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.7N 84.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.1N 91.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Summary for Tropical Storm KAREN (AT2/AL122013)
2013-10-05 22:42:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...KAREN STILL A TROPICAL STORM... As of 4:00 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 the center of KAREN was located near 28.1, -91.7 with movement N at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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