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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-14 19:47:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of El Salvador is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just offshore the coast of Guatemala and Mexico. By late this week, proximity to land could inhibit further development. Heavy rainfall that is currently occurring across Nicaragua and Honduras is forecast to spread westward over El Salvador and Guatemala tonight and Tuesday, and into southern Mexico by Wednesday. These rains could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-14 19:46:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 141746 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Oct 14 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Storm Melissa, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Newfoundland, Canada. A large low pressure system located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean less than 300 miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is moving slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Satellite imagery and surface wind data indicate that low has become better defined since yesterday, and shower and thunderstorm activity is showing increasing signs of organization. If this recent development trend continues, then a tropical depression or a tropical storm storm is likely to form later tonight or early Tuesday while the low moves generally northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands. Strong upper-level winds should prevent any further development by midweek. This system is forecast to bring locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Cabo Verde Islands tonight through Wednesday morning, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Honduras, and parts of Central America are associated with a broad area of low pressure located inland over northwestern Honduras. This system will move west-northwestward across southern Belize, northern Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days, preventing tropical cyclone formation during that time. By Wednesday, however, the low is forecast to emerge over the southern Bay of Campeche where conditions could become a little more conducive for some further organization to occur. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over a large portion of Central America during the next few days, which could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave accompanied by a small low pressure system located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Although thunderstorm activity has continued to increase and become a little better organized since yesterday, upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally conducive for significant development of this system over the next day or two while it moves westward at around 15 mph. By late Wednesday as the wave approaches the Windward Islands, upper-level winds are forecast to become quite hostile for any further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

6 Trending Headlines: Warm weather ahead; PLUS: Hope for rural communities

2019-10-14 16:56:00| Beef

The latest weather calls for warmer-than-normal temps across much of the U.S. That and more awaits you in this weeks Trending Headlines.

Tags: hope weather communities ahead

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-14 13:50:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 141150 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Oct 14 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Melissa, located several hundred miles south of Newfoundland, Canada. A large low pressure system located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean about 300 miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is moving slowly west-northwestward. Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization, and environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next day or so while the disturbance moves west-northwestward to northwestward near the Cabo Verde Islands. Strong upper-level winds should prevent any further development by midweek. This system is forecast to bring locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Cabo Verde Islands later today through Tuesday, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Honduras, and parts of Central America are associated with a broad area of low pressure located inland over north-central Honduras. This system is expected to move west-northwestward across Honduras, southern Belize, and northern Guatemala, which should prevent tropical cyclone formation for the next couple of days. By Wednesday, however, the low is forecast to emerge over the southern Bay of Campeche where conditions could become a little more conducive for some organization to occur. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next few days, which could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. While thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday, upper-level winds are not particularly conducive for significant development of this system over the next couple of days while it moves westward at around 15 mph. By Wednesday, as the wave approaches the Windward Islands, upper-level winds are forecast to become quite hostile for any further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-14 13:33:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141133 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Oct 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of Baja California Sur, the Gulf of California, and western Mexico are associated with an elongated area of low pressure. Upper-level winds have increased over the system, and the low has moved over cooler waters. Therefore, development is no longer anticipated. However, heavy rainfall associated with this system is likely to continue across portions of Baja California Sur, southern Sonora, and northern Sinaloa through today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just offshore the coast of Mexico. By late this week, the proximity to land could inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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