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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 07:06:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 130506 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite images indicate that the circulation of a low pressure area a few hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains elongated, and the system does not have a well-defined center. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is still not well organized. Although the window of opportunity for development is decreasing, a tropical depression could still form on Sunday while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By Sunday night or Monday, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forming a couple of hundred miles west of the the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 01:32:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 122331 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Melissa, located several hundred miles southeast of the New England coast. Surface observations indicate that a broad area of low pressure is forming over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. The system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low moves over the northwestern Caribbean Sea near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America late this weekend through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of the system is still possible before conditions become unfavorable by the middle of next week. The system is expected move westward to northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 01:32:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 122331 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Recent satellite data indicate that the wind field of a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains elongated, and the system does not have a well-defined center. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not increased in organization. Although the window of opportunity for development is decreasing, a tropical depression is still likely to form by tonight or on Sunday while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By Sunday night or Monday, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forming a couple of hundred miles west of the the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-12 20:53:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
244 ABNT20 KNHC 121744 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa, located a few hundred miles southeast of the New England coast. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low moves over the northwestern Caribbean Sea near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America late this weekend through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of the system is still possible before conditions become unfavorable by the middle of next week. The system is expected move westward to northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-12 19:29:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121729 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with an elongated area of low pressure. Although shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little over the past several hours, a tropical depression is still expected to form tonight or on Sunday while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By Monday, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of southeastern Mexico early next week. Gradual development of this system is possible after that time, and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A small low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce limited shower activity, and strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent development of a tropical cyclone. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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