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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-17 07:02:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 170502 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche have increased and become a little better organized during the past several hours. Recent satellite wind data also indicate that the system is producing winds to near tropical storm force. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical or subtropical storm is likely to form later today or tonight while the system moves generally northeastward over the western Gulf of Mexico. The low is forecast to approach the northern or northeastern Gulf Coast on Friday or Saturday and regardless of development, the system is likely to produce gusty winds and rough surf over those areas. Heavy rainfall is also possible across portions of the southeast U.S. late this week and this weekend. Interests along the northern and northeastern Gulf coast should monitor the progress of this system. For more information about marine hazards while the low moves across the Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days, see products issued by the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch of the National Hurricane Center. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Offshore Waters Forecasts for the Gulf of Mexico issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header MIAOFFNT4, WMO header FZNT24 KNHC, and online at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIAOFFNT4.shtml $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-17 07:00:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 170500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Oct 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located about 1250 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development of this system during the next few days while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-17 01:36:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 162335 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche has increased during the past several hours. This system is forecast to move northward and then northeastward across the western and central Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days and it could become a tropical or subtropical cyclone during that time. Regardless of development, the low could produce gusty winds and rough surf when it nears the northern Gulf Coast on Friday and Saturday. Heavy rainfall is also possible across portions of the southeast U.S. late this week and this weekend. For more information about marine hazards while the low moves across the Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days, see products issued by the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch of the National Hurricane Center. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Thursday afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Offshore Waters Forecasts for the Gulf of Mexico issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header MIAOFFNT4, WMO header FZNT24 KNHC, and online at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIAOFFNT4.shtml $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-17 01:35:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 162335 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Oct 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located about 1250 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development of this system during the next few days while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-16 19:52:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161752 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center issued the last advisory on Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E, located just inland over the southern portion of the state of Oaxaca, Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system during the next few days while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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