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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-09 19:45:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 091745 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 9 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is anticipated, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form more than 1000 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula by late this week. Some additional slow development is possible as the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven/Hagen

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-09 13:13:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 091113 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Sep 9 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Windward Islands. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next two or three days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. This system is expected to move generally westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean for the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located a few hundred miles north and northeast of the Greater Antilles are associated with a surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. Little to no development of this system is expected during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward, north of the Greater Antilles. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development when the disturbance moves near the Bahamas and Florida late this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-09 13:08:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

578 ABPZ20 KNHC 091108 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Sep 9 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is anticipated, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-09 07:24:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 090524 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Sep 9 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian, located offshore of Atlantic Canada. A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Windward Islands. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next few days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. This system is expected to move generally westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located a few hundred miles north and northeast of the northern Leeward Islands are associated with a surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent the development of this system during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward to the north of the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico. However, environmental conditions could become a little more favorable for development when the disturbance moves near the Bahamas and Florida late this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-09 07:24:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 090524 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 8 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form around the middle of the week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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