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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-14 01:45:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 132345 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly developed Tropical Depression Nine, located near the northwestern Bahamas. A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower activity and only gradual development is anticipated during the next couple of days while the wave moves quickly westward across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions could be a little more conducive for development in a few days when the wave moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Another tropical wave is located about 600 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of disturbed weather has developed between two tropical waves, about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This disturbance may merge with a tropical wave approaching from the east over the weekend. However, some development of this system is possible through early next week as long as it remains distinct from the wave. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-13 19:44:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131744 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Only some slight development is expected over the next couple of days before environmental conditions become unfavorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Another tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly to the west of the wave axis. Some slow development is possible into next week while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America over the weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression will likely form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-13 19:39:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 131739 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, centered over the central Bahamas. This system is gradually becoming better organized, and if this trend continues, a tropical depression or tropical storm may develop later this afternoon or evening as the system drifts northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and showers. Conditions are expected to become more conducive for development in a couple days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward across the tropical Atlantic and approaches the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another tropical wave is located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-13 13:49:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131149 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Only some slight development is expected over the next couple of days before environmental conditions become unfavorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Another tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly to the west of the wave axis. Some slow development is possible into next week while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America over the weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression will likely form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && Public Advisories on Kiko are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Kiko are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-13 13:47:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

465 ABNT20 KNHC 131147 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, centered over the central Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and showers. Conditions are expected to become more conducive for development in a couple days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another tropical wave is located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while the it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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