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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-11 13:56:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 111155 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Sep 11 2019 Delete word and correct number For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Widespread cloudiness and showers extending from the southeastern Bahamas northward over the southwestern Atlantic for a few hundred miles are associated with a surface trough of low pressure. Limited development of this system is anticipated today or tomorrow, however conditions are forecast to become a little more favorable for development over the weekend, and a tropical depression could form as the disturbance moves slowly toward the west-northwest across the Florida Straits or South Florida and over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, this disturbance could produce periods of locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across the Bahamas through Thursday, and across Florida during the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad low pressure system, associated with a tropical wave, is located about 650 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This disturbance is accompanied by a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move westward toward unfavorable upper-level winds for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands is forecast to move quickly westward during the next several days. Some slow development is possible over the weekend or early next week when the system is moving over the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
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atlantic
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-11 13:30:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111130 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Sep 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles west-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is gradually becoming better defined. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form more than 1000 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. Some additional development is possible while the system moves slowly westward through the weekend and early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
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eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-11 07:03:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 110503 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Sep 10 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is gradually becoming better defined. Associated thunderstorm activity has continued to increase, and environmental conditions are conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form more than 1000 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. Some additional development is possible while the system moves slowly westward through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-11 07:02:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 110502 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Sep 11 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A surface trough located over the Turks and Caicos continues to produce widespread cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms across the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos, and extending northward over the southwestern Atlantic for a few hundred miles. Ship reports continue to indicate that tropical-storm-force wind gusts are occurring in some of the heavier squalls. Limited development of this disturbance is expected during the next few days due to only marginally conducive upper-level winds while the system moves very slowly west-northwestward across the Bahamas. However, environmental conditions could become more favorable for development when the system moves over the Florida Straits and into the eastern Gulf of Mexico by Friday and over the weekend. Regardless of development, this disturbance will produce periods of locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across the Bahamas through Thursday, and across Florida by late Friday and continuing into the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A broad low pressure system, associated with a tropical wave, is located about 800 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Although this disturbance continues to produce disorganized shower activity, some slight development of this system is still possible on Wednesday. By Thursday, however, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. This disturbance is expected to move slowly westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean for the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands is forecast to move quickly westward during the next several days. Some slow development is possible over the weekend or early next week when the system is expected to be a couple of hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-11 01:32:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 102331 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Sep 10 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Widespread cloudiness and thunderstorms are beginning to show signs of organization in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form more than 1000 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. Some additional development is possible while the system moves slowly westward through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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