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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 13:48:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141148 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Sep 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A weak area of low pressure centered about 500 miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward well offshore the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another broad area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala. This system is producing a more concentrated but also disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward, near or parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 13:47:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141147 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Humberto, centered just east of the northwestern Bahamas. A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 950 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower activity, and significant development of this system is not anticipated during the next several days while it moves quickly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An elongated area of disturbed weather is located about 650 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. The area of disturbed weather that was located midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cabo Verde Islands has merged with the easternmost tropical wave mentioned above. Development of the original disturbance is no longer anticipated. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is primarily associated with a upper-level low pressure area. Only slow development of this system is likely during the next couple of days. However, conditions could become more conducive for development early next week as the system moves over the western Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 07:55:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 140555 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Humberto, located near the northwestern Bahamas. A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower activity, and development, if any, should be slow to occur during the next couple of days while the wave moves quickly westward across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions could be a little more conducive for development in a few days when the wave moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another tropical wave is located about 600 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located between the two tropical waves mentioned above, about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This disturbance may merge with the tropical wave approaching from the east over the weekend. However, some development of this system is possible through early next week as long as it remains a distinct system. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is primarily associated with a upper-level low pressure area. Only slow development of this system is likely during the next couple of days. However, conditions could become more conducive for development early next week as the system moves over the western Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 07:43:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 140543 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers located about 1800 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with an elongated trough of low pressure. Development of this system is not expected as it begins to drift eastward into the larger circulation of Tropical Storm Kiko during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that a weak area of low pressure has developed along an elongated trough about 500 miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. This disturbance is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness, showers, and a few thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward well offshore the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Satellite-derived wind data also indicate that a broad area of low pressure is developing a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala. This system is producing a more concentrated but also disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward, near or parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 01:45:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132345 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Little to no development of this system is anticipated while it moves slowly westward for the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the southern coast of Mexico. Some gradual development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward well off the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America in a day or two. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward, near or parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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