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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-15 19:47:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An elongated area of low pressure centered several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves slowly west-northwestward well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers centered several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week as the system moves west-northwestward near, or parallel to, the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-15 19:39:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 151739 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Humberto, located about 200 miles north of the northwestern Bahamas. A small low pressure system is producing an elongated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic. Slow development is anticipated during the next day or two, but environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development by the middle of the week, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico is associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface trough. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the western Gulf of Mexico. The system is forecast to move inland along the northwestern Gulf coast by late Monday or Tuesday, and further development is not expected after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-15 13:45:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151145 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Sep 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A large and disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is associated with a small area of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves slowly west-northwestward well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another weak area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of Guatemala. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of the week as the system moves west-northwestward near, or parallel to, the coast of Mexico during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-15 13:33:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 151133 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Humberto, located more than 100 miles north of the northwestern Bahamas. An elongated area of disturbed weather is located over the central tropical Atlantic. Shower activity remains disorganized and only slow development, if any, is anticipated during the next day or two. However, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development through the middle of the week, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico is associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface trough. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the western Gulf of Mexico. The system is forecast to move inland along the northwestern Gulf coast by late Monday or Tuesday, and further development is not expected after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-15 07:27:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 150527 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Sep 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A large and disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico is associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another weak area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of the week as the system moves west-northwestward near, or parallel to, the coast of Mexico during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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