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Hurricane Maria Forecast Advisory Number 42
2017-09-26 16:40:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017 000 WTNT25 KNHC 261440 TCMAT5 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 1500 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BOGUE INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER * ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE LOOKOUT TO WEST OF OCRACOKE INLET * NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO DUCK A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 73.1W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT.......200NE 210SE 160SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 360SE 240SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 73.1W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 73.1W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 34.3N 73.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 35.1N 73.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 35.7N 72.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 160SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.1N 70.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 190SE 170SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 37.6N 63.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 220SE 180SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 42.5N 49.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 50.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 73.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Summary for Hurricane Maria (AT5/AL152017)
2017-09-26 16:40:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS NEARING THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS... As of 11:00 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 the center of Maria was located near 33.6, -73.1 with movement N at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 971 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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Hurricane Maria Public Advisory Number 42
2017-09-26 16:40:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017 000 WTNT35 KNHC 261440 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Maria Advisory Number 42 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017 1100 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017 ...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS NEARING THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.6N 73.1W ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Storm Surge Warning has been issued from Ocracoke Inlet to Cape Hatteras. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Ocracoke Inlet to Cape Hatteras A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bogue Inlet to the North Carolina/Virginia border * Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Cape Lookout to west of Ocracoke Inlet * North of Cape Hatteras to Duck A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Maria was located near latitude 33.6 North, longitude 73.1 West. Maria is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected through tonight. A turn toward the north-northeast is expected on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Maria will pass east of the coast of North Carolina during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Maria is forecast to become a tropical storm within the next day or so. Maria is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). NOAA buoy 41025 located about 15 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras recently reported a sustained wind of 39 mph (63 km/h) with a wind gust to 49 mph (80 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissance aircraft data is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area beginning this afternoon. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Cape Lookout to Duck including the sound side of the Outer Banks...2 to 4 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches over the Outer Banks of North Carolina through Wednesday. SURF: Large swells generated by Maria are affecting much of the east coast of the United States. These swells are also affecting Bermuda, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Summary for Hurricane Maria (AT5/AL152017)
2017-09-26 13:48:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...MARIA CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD... As of 8:00 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 the center of Maria was located near 33.3, -73.1 with movement N at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 970 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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Hurricane Maria Public Advisory Number 41A
2017-09-26 13:48:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017 000 WTNT35 KNHC 261148 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Maria Intermediate Advisory Number 41A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017 ...MARIA CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.3N 73.1W ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bogue Inlet to the North Carolina/Virginia border * Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Cape Lookout to Duck A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Maria was located near latitude 33.3 North, longitude 73.1 West. Maria is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected through tonight. A turn toward the north-northeast is expected on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Maria will pass east of the coast of North Carolina during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Maria is forecast to become a tropical storm within the next day or so. Maria remains a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). NOAA buoy 41025, located about 15 miles (25 km) southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, recently reported a wind gust to 45 mph (72 km/h). The minimum central pressure recently reported by reconnaissance aircraft is 970 mb (28.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area beginning later today. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Cape Lookout to Duck including the sound side of the Outer Banks...2 to 4 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches over the Outer Banks of North Carolina through Wednesday. SURF: Large swells generated by Maria are affecting most of the east coast of the United States. These swells are also affecting Bermuda, Puerto Rico, the northern coast of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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