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Summary for Tropical Storm Maria (AT5/AL152017)
2017-09-27 04:32:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING OVER THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA... As of 11:00 PM EDT Tue Sep 26 the center of Maria was located near 34.9, -72.9 with movement N at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 975 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Tropical Storm Maria Public Advisory Number 44
2017-09-27 04:32:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017 000 WTNT35 KNHC 270232 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Maria Advisory Number 44 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017 1100 PM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017 ...GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING OVER THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.9N 72.9W ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Ocracoke Inlet to Cape Hatteras A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bogue Inlet to the North Carolina/Virginia border * Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Cape Lookout to west of Ocracoke Inlet * North of Cape Hatteras to Duck A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Maria was located near latitude 34.9 North, longitude 72.9 West. Maria is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected overnight. A turn toward the north-northeast is expected on Wednesday, and a turn toward the east-northeast is anticipated on Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Maria will pass east of the coast of North Carolina during the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight weakening is forecast during the next day or two. Maria is a large tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. Hatteras Landing, on the North Carolina Outer Banks, recently reported a sustained wind of 37 mph (59 km/h) with a gust to 46 mph (70 km/h). The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations is 975 mb (28.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning through Wednesday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Cape Lookout to Duck including the sound side of the Outer Banks...2 to 4 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches over the Outer Banks of North Carolina through Wednesday. SURF: Large swells generated by Maria are affecting much of the east coast of the United States. These swells are also affecting Bermuda, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 44
2017-09-27 04:32:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 27 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 270232 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 0300 UTC WED SEP 27 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLIP NY 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TRENTON NJ 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NWS EARLE NJ 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PHILADELPHIA 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ATLANTIC CITY 34 5 4( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BALTIMORE MD 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 5 3( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 4 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WASHINGTON DC 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 6 5(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) OCEAN CITY MD 34 10 5(15) 3(18) X(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) PAX RIVER NAS 34 5 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) WALLOPS CDA 34 10 6(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) RICHMOND VA 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NORFOLK NAS 34 10 5(15) 2(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) NORFOLK VA 34 11 5(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) OCEANA NAS VA 34 13 6(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) ELIZABETH CTY 34 15 6(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) RALEIGH NC 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHERRY PT NC 34 9 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) NEW RIVER NC 34 12 4(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MOREHEAD CITY 34 10 3(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) SURF CITY NC 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WILMINGTON NC 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BALD HEAD ISL 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Summary for Tropical Storm Maria (AT5/AL152017)
2017-09-27 01:52:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...MARIA PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS OVER THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA... As of 8:00 PM EDT Tue Sep 26 the center of Maria was located near 34.6, -72.9 with movement N at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 975 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Tropical Storm Maria Public Advisory Number 43A
2017-09-27 01:52:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017 000 WTNT35 KNHC 262352 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Maria Intermediate Advisory Number 43A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017 800 PM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017 ...MARIA PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS OVER THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.6N 72.9W ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM ESE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Ocracoke Inlet to Cape Hatteras A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bogue Inlet to the North Carolina/Virginia border * Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Cape Lookout to west of Ocracoke Inlet * North of Cape Hatteras to Duck A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Maria was located near latitude 34.6 North, longitude 72.9 West. Maria is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected through tonight. A turn toward the north-northeast is expected on Wednesday, and a turn toward the east-northeast is anticipated on Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Maria will pass east of the coast of North Carolina during the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight weakening is forecast during the next day or two. Maria is a large tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. Okracoke Island recently reported a sustained wind of 37 mph (59 km/h) with a gust to 43 mph (69 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 975 mb (28.79 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning through Wednesday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Cape Lookout to Duck including the sound side of the Outer Banks...2 to 4 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches over the Outer Banks of North Carolina through Wednesday. SURF: Large swells generated by Maria are affecting much of the east coast of the United States. These swells are also affecting Bermuda, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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