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Summary for Tropical Depression Nineteen (AT4/AL192020)

2020-09-12 07:48:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION MOVING ONSHORE NEAR MIAMI FLORIDA... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT OR SUNDAY... As of 2:00 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 the center of Nineteen was located near 25.7, -80.2 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Summary for Tropical Storm Paulette (AT2/AL172020)

2020-09-12 07:44:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...PAULETTE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE SATURDAY... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO BERMUDA BY SUNDAY NIGHT... As of 2:00 AM AST Sat Sep 12 the center of Paulette was located near 26.4, -55.5 with movement NW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 987 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

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Tropical Storm Paulette Public Advisory Number 21A

2020-09-12 07:44:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 AM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 120544 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Paulette Intermediate Advisory Number 21A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 200 AM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 ...PAULETTE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE SATURDAY... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO BERMUDA BY SUNDAY NIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.4N 55.5W ABOUT 690 MI...1115 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was located near latitude 26.4 North, longitude 55.5 West. Paulette is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A west-northwestward or northwestward motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected through the weekend, followed by a turn toward the north on Monday. The center of Paulette is forecast to move near Bermuda Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is anticipated and Paulette is forecast to become a hurricane later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions could begin to affect Bermuda and the nearby waters by Sunday night. Hurricane conditions could begin in that area late Sunday or early Monday. RAIN: Paulette may bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda through Monday, with rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the Leeward Islands and will continue to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, Bermuda, and the southeastern United States into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts/Brown

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-12 07:12:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 120512 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Sep 11 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a little more than 600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next day or two before it interacts with, and is possibly absorbed by, a larger weather disturbance to its east-southeast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another area of low pressure is located several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. This system is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the west of the center of the the low. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high..70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Tropical Storm Paulette Graphics

2020-09-12 04:55:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 12 Sep 2020 02:55:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 12 Sep 2020 02:55:12 GMT

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