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Tropical Storm Kate Forecast Advisory Number 13

2021-08-31 10:36:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 31 2021 000 WTNT25 KNHC 310836 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102021 0900 UTC TUE AUG 31 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 50.9W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 50.9W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 50.9W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 23.9N 50.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 25.2N 51.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 26.6N 52.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.3N 53.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 29.9N 54.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 31.5N 54.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 35.1N 53.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 50.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-31 07:43:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 310543 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kate, located over the central tropical Atlantic. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ida, located over northeastern Mississippi. A well-defined low pressure system is located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic more than 200 miles southwest of the coast of Guinea. Associated shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning to show some signs of organization, and environmental conditions are conducive for additional development of this system. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high..90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days. Environmental conditions appear to be somewhat conducive for slow development by the end of the week, as long as the system remains over water. This system is expected to move gradually west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph toward Central America. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center on Tropical Depression Ida can be found under AWIPS header TCPAT4, WMO header WTNT34 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-31 07:37:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 310537 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 30 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Tropical Depression Ida Public Advisory Number 20

2021-08-31 04:48:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 1000 PM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021

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Tropical Storm Kate Graphics

2021-08-31 04:34:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 31 Aug 2021 02:34:06 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 31 Aug 2021 03:28:24 GMT

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