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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-14 01:16:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 132316 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Oct 13 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms well to the east and northeast of its center. Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent significant development of this system during the next day or two. The low is forecast to move little through tonight, then accelerate eastward on Thursday. On Friday, the disturbance is forecast to interact with a frontal system and further development is not anticipated after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-14 01:14:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132314 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Oct 13 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Pamela, located inland over north-central Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Tropical Depression Pamela Graphics

2021-10-13 22:37:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 13 Oct 2021 20:37:01 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 13 Oct 2021 20:37:01 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Depression Pamela (EP1/EP162021)

2021-10-13 22:35:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...PAMELA NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO... ...REMNANTS EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA... As of 4:00 PM CDT Wed Oct 13 the center of Pamela was located near 26.0, -103.7 with movement NE at 28 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression Pamela Forecast Advisory Number 15

2021-10-13 22:35:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 13 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 132034 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAMELA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021 2100 UTC WED OCT 13 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 103.7W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 24 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 103.7W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 104.8W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 28.6N 100.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 103.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN

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