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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-01 19:50:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
968 ABNT20 KNHC 011750 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Jul 1 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Elsa, located about 600 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Elsa are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Elsa are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-01 19:48:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 011748 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 1 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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Tropical Storm Elsa Graphics
2021-07-01 19:46:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 01 Jul 2021 17:46:33 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 01 Jul 2021 15:22:45 GMT
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elsa
Summary for Tropical Storm Elsa (AT5/AL052021)
2021-07-01 19:45:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ELSA NOW MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... As of 2:00 PM AST Thu Jul 1 the center of Elsa was located near 10.6, -52.6 with movement WNW at 28 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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elsa
Tropical Storm Elsa Public Advisory Number 4A
2021-07-01 19:45:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM AST Thu Jul 01 2021 000 WTNT35 KNHC 011745 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elsa Intermediate Advisory Number 4A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052021 200 PM AST Thu Jul 01 2021 ...ELSA NOW MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.6N 52.6W ABOUT 600 MI...965 KM ESE OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of France has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for Guadeloupe. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Barbados * Martinique * St. Lucia * St. Vincent and the Grenadines A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Grenada and its dependencies A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, and Haiti should monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located near latitude 10.6 North, longitude 52.6 West. Elsa is moving toward the west-northwest near 28 mph (44 km/h). An even faster motion toward the west-northwest is expected over the next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track, Elsa will pass near or over portions of the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands on Friday, move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday. By early Sunday, Elsa is forecast to move near portions of eastern Cuba. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km), mainly to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Elsa can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5, WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands within the warning areas on Friday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch areas on Friday. RAINFALL: Elsa is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum totals of 10 inches on Friday across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands, including Barbados. Over Puerto Rico, rainfall of 1 to 3 inches with localized amounts of 5 inches are expected Friday into Saturday. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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