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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-29 01:33:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 282333 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Jun 28 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Danny, located near the southern South Carolina coast. Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical wave located over the central Atlantic Ocean. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible later this week and this weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, likely reaching the Lesser Antilles by Wednesday night. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Danny are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Four are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-29 01:06:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 282306 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Jun 28 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Enrique, located a couple of hundred miles southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Enrique Graphics
2021-06-28 23:04:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 28 Jun 2021 21:04:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 28 Jun 2021 21:28:28 GMT
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Tropical Storm Enrique Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2021-06-28 22:50:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 28 2021 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 282050 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052021 2100 UTC MON JUN 28 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 5( 7) 11(18) 3(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 6( 8) 11(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLAS MARIAS 34 44 X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) MAZATLAN 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/STEWART
Summary for Tropical Storm Enrique (EP5/EP052021)
2021-06-28 22:50:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ENRIQUE WEAKENING QUICKLY AS IT PULLS NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST MEXICAN COASTLINE... As of 3:00 PM MDT Mon Jun 28 the center of Enrique was located near 20.7, -107.3 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 982 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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