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Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard Forecast Advisory Number 10
2020-07-06 22:33:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 06 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 062033 TCMAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052020 2100 UTC MON JUL 06 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.7N 46.0W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 33 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 180SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.7N 46.0W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.8N 47.6W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 45.1N 40.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 48.5N 33.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.7N 46.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Graphics
2020-06-30 22:36:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 30 Jun 2020 20:36:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 30 Jun 2020 21:24:32 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Forecast Discussion Number 4
2020-06-30 22:35:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 302035 TCDEP4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020 300 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 Satellite images show that the cyclone continues to lack organized convection, and thus no longer meets the requirements of a tropical cyclone. The system is now post tropical, and this is the last NHC advisory. The initial wind speed is 25 kt, perhaps generously, based on continuity. The low should weaken and degenerate into a trough of low pressure due to cool waters during the next day or so while it moves slowly northwestward. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/2100Z 20.9N 112.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 01/0600Z 21.0N 113.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 01/1800Z 21.2N 113.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 02/0600Z 21.4N 113.5W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2020-06-30 22:35:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 302035 PWSEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042020 2100 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E (EP4/EP042020)
2020-06-30 22:35:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 3:00 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 the center of Four-E was located near 20.9, -112.9 with movement NW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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