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Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Public Advisory Number 4
2020-06-30 22:35:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 302034 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020 300 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 ...DEPRESSION BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.9N 112.9W ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E was located near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 112.9 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h), and this general motion should continue for the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast, and the low should degenerate into a trough of low pressure by Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Blake
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Forecast Advisory Number 4
2020-06-30 22:34:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 302034 TCMEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042020 2100 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 112.9W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 112.9W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 112.9W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 21.0N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.2N 113.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 21.4N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 112.9W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dolly Graphics
2020-06-24 16:34:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 24 Jun 2020 14:34:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 24 Jun 2020 15:24:40 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dolly Forecast Discussion Number 9
2020-06-24 16:33:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Wed Jun 24 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 241433 TCDAT4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Dolly Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042020 1100 AM AST Wed Jun 24 2020 The center of Dolly has been exposed since last night, and any remaining convection has been displaced well to the system's south. The circulation is now traversing over waters below 20 degrees C, and therefore is not anticipated that any deep convection will return to the post-tropical remnant low. The initial intensity of 30 kt is based on an overnight ASCAT overpass. The low is forecast to gradually spin down through tonight and will likely open to a surface trough sometime on Thursday as it continues to move northeastward at around 15 kt. This is the last NHC advisory on this system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/1500Z 42.5N 57.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 25/0000Z 44.1N 55.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 25/1200Z 45.9N 51.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
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dolly
Post-Tropical Cyclone Dolly Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2020-06-24 16:32:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 24 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 241432 PWSAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DOLLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042020 1500 UTC WED JUN 24 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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