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Tropical Depression Emily Public Advisory Number 7
2017-08-01 16:40:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM EDT Tue Aug 01 2017 000 WTNT31 KNHC 011440 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Emily Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062017 1100 AM EDT Tue Aug 01 2017 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY MOVING AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.3N 78.9W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ENE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Emily was located near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 78.9 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Emily will continue to move away from Florida today and remain well off the southeastern U.S. coast. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible during the next day or so, but Emily is also forecast to lose its tropical characteristics within a day or two. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Depression Emily Forecast Advisory Number 7
2017-08-01 16:40:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 01 2017 000 WTNT21 KNHC 011440 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062017 1500 UTC TUE AUG 01 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 78.9W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 78.9W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 79.4W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 30.4N 77.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 32.1N 75.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.9N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.3N 68.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 37.6N 62.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 39.0N 55.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 78.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Depression Emily Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2017-08-01 16:40:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 01 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 011440 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062017 1500 UTC TUE AUG 01 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Depression Emily Graphics
2017-08-01 10:39:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Aug 2017 08:39:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Aug 2017 09:23:16 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Emily (AT1/AL062017)
2017-08-01 10:36:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...POORLY ORGANIZED EMILY MOVES OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC... As of 5:00 AM EDT Tue Aug 1 the center of Emily was located near 28.3, -80.1 with movement ENE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1011 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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