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Remnants of Nadine Forecast Discussion Number 16
2018-10-13 04:32:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 000 WTNT45 KNHC 130232 TCDAT5 Remnants Of Nadine Discussion Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 ASCAT data indicate that Nadine no longer has a closed circulation nor a well-defined center. This is also confirmed by low cloud motions from GOES-16. Thus Nadine has degenerated into an open wave, and this is the last advisory on this system. The initial wind speed is reduced to 30 kt to match the value from the scatterometer. Strong shear should cause the remnants to slowly weaken as the system moves quickly westward beneath the Atlantic subtropical ridge. Future information on the remnants of Nadine can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/0300Z 16.0N 39.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...REMNANTS OF NADINE 12H 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
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Summary for Remnants of Nadine (AT5/AL152018)
2018-10-13 04:32:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NO MORE NADINE, THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 11:00 PM AST Fri Oct 12 the center of Nadine was located near 16.0, -39.5 with movement W at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Remnants of Nadine Public Advisory Number 16
2018-10-13 04:32:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 000 WTNT35 KNHC 130232 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Remnants Of Nadine Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 ...NO MORE NADINE, THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.0N 39.5W ABOUT 1010 MI...1625 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the remnants of Nadine were located near latitude 16.0 North, longitude 39.5 West. The remnants are moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h). Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml $$ Forecaster Blake
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Remnants of Nadine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2018-10-13 04:32:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 13 2018 000 FONT15 KNHC 130232 PWSAT5 REMNANTS OF NADINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152018 0300 UTC SAT OCT 13 2018 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF NADINE WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS ...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Remnants of Nadine Forecast Advisory Number 16
2018-10-13 04:31:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 13 2018 000 WTNT25 KNHC 130231 TCMAT5 REMNANTS OF NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152018 0300 UTC SAT OCT 13 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 39.5W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 39.5W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 38.5W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 39.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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