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Tropical Storm Cosme Public Advisory Number 3
2019-07-07 04:31:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Sat Jul 06 2019 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 070231 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cosme Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032019 800 PM PDT Sat Jul 06 2019 ...COSME MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.7N 117.1W ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cosme was located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 117.1 West. Cosme is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue overnight. A turn toward the northwest and a reduction in forward speed is expected on Sunday and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through early Sunday. Gradual weakening should begin Sunday night and Cosme is forecast to become a remnant low by Monday night or Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Cosme Forecast Advisory Number 3
2019-07-07 04:31:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUL 07 2019 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 070231 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032019 0300 UTC SUN JUL 07 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 117.1W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......140NE 0SE 0SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 270SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 117.1W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 116.7W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.4N 118.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 30SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.3N 119.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 20SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.3N 120.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.0N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.1N 123.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 21.5N 125.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 117.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Storm Cosme Graphics
2019-07-06 22:41:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 06 Jul 2019 20:41:27 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 06 Jul 2019 21:24:23 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Cosme (EP3/EP032019)
2019-07-06 22:40:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...COSME MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sat Jul 6 the center of Cosme was located near 16.2, -116.3 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Cosme Public Advisory Number 2
2019-07-06 22:40:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Sat Jul 06 2019 013 WTPZ33 KNHC 062039 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cosme Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032019 200 PM PDT Sat Jul 06 2019 ...COSME MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.2N 116.3W ABOUT 620 MI...1000 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cosme was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 116.3 West. Cosme is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn to the northwest on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected this weekend, followed by a slow decrease in speed anticipated on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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