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Subtropical Storm Alberto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

2018-05-28 02:28:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0030 UTC MON MAY 28 2018 000 FONT11 KNHC 280028 PWSAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012018 0030 UTC MON MAY 28 2018 AT 0030Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ATLANTA GA 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KINGS BAY GA 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WAYCROSS GA 34 8 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MAYPORT NS FL 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) JACKSONVILLE 34 6 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GAINESVILLE FL 34 12 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) DAYTONA BEACH 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) THE VILLAGES 34 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ORLANDO FL 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NAPLES FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT MYERS FL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TAMPA FL 34 8 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CEDAR KEY FL 34 25 3(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 56 8(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) ST MARKS FL 34 62 6(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) ST MARKS FL 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 92 2(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) APALACHICOLA 50 20 8(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) APALACHICOLA 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 290N 850W 50 41 3(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) GFMX 290N 850W 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PANAMA CITY FL 34 85 11(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) PANAMA CITY FL 50 16 29(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) PANAMA CITY FL 64 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 55 31(86) 2(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 2 28(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBUS GA 34 7 10(17) 6(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 2 5( 7) 6(13) 6(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) MONTGOMERY AL 34 7 15(22) 14(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 27 36(63) 3(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) WHITING FLD FL 50 1 10(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) WHITING FLD FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PENSACOLA FL 34 27 32(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) PENSACOLA FL 50 1 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) PENSACOLA FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 870W 34 52 7(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) GFMX 290N 870W 50 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MOBILE AL 34 7 12(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) GULFPORT MS 34 4 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) STENNIS MS 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BURAS LA 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 890W 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSON MS 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BATON ROUGE LA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Subtropical Storm Alberto Update Statement

2018-05-28 02:06:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 700 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018 000 WTNT61 KNHC 280006 TCUAT1 Subtropical Storm Alberto Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018 700 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018 ..ALBERTO STRONGER... Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that Alberto has strengthened and the maximum sustained winds are now 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. A special advisory will be issued within the hour. SUMMARY OF 700 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.3N 85.6W ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Summary for Subtropical Storm Alberto (AT1/AL012018)

2018-05-28 02:06:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...ALBERTO TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 7:00 PM CDT Sun May 27 the center of Alberto was located near 28.3, -85.6 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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