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Remnants of Ileana Graphics
2018-08-07 16:44:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 07 Aug 2018 14:44:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 07 Aug 2018 15:34:58 GMT
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Remnants of Ileana Forecast Discussion Number 12
2018-08-07 16:43:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Tue Aug 07 2018 465 WTPZ41 KNHC 071443 TCDEP1 Remnants Of Ileana Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112018 900 AM MDT Tue Aug 07 2018 Early morning GOES-16 one-minute satellite imagery confirms that the small circulation of Ileana has dissipated within the northern portion of Hurricane John's larger circulation. As a result, this is the final NHC advisory on Ileana. The remnants of the tropical cyclone are likely producing an area of tropical-storm-force winds that should gradually decrease in intensity as it rotates around the northern and northwestern portion of John during the next few hours. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/1500Z 20.5N 109.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...REMNANTS 12H 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
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Remnants of Ileana Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2018-08-07 16:43:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 07 2018 497 FOPZ11 KNHC 071442 PWSEP1 REMNANTS OF ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112018 1500 UTC TUE AUG 07 2018 AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF ILEANA WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Summary for Remnants of Ileana (EP1/EP112018)
2018-08-07 16:43:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ILEANA DISSIPATES WITHIN THE OUTER BANDS OF HURRICANE JOHN... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 9:00 AM MDT Tue Aug 7 the center of Ileana was located near 20.5, -109.0 with movement W at 25 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Remnants of Ileana Public Advisory Number 12
2018-08-07 16:43:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Tue Aug 07 2018 451 WTPZ31 KNHC 071442 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Remnants Of Ileana Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112018 900 AM MDT Tue Aug 07 2018 ...ILEANA DISSIPATES WITHIN THE OUTER BANDS OF HURRICANE JOHN... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 109.0W ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Ileana were located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 109.0 West. The remnants are moving toward the west near 25 mph (41 km/h). The remnants should turn west-southwestward and be absorbed within the outer bands of Hurricane John later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast until the remnants are absorbed within the circulation of John. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Ileana and Hurricane John will be affecting portions of the coasts of southwestern Mexico and the southern Baja California peninsula during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Ileana. $$ Forecaster Brown
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