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Tropical Storm Norman Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2018-08-29 04:34:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED AUG 29 2018 106 FOPZ11 KNHC 290234 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 0300 UTC WED AUG 29 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 85 1(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) ISLA CLARION 50 29 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) ISLA CLARION 64 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 115W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 115W 34 3 6( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 15N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 6(17) X(17) 1(18) 20N 120W 34 X 3( 3) 26(29) 26(55) 4(59) X(59) X(59) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 24(47) 2(49) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 1(21) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 6(32) 1(33) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 10N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 28(56) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 18(26) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Summary for Tropical Storm Norman (EP1/EP162018)
2018-08-29 04:34:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM... ...LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW... As of 9:00 PM MDT Tue Aug 28 the center of Norman was located near 17.5, -113.9 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Norman Public Advisory Number 3
2018-08-29 04:34:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Tue Aug 28 2018 890 WTPZ31 KNHC 290234 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Norman Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162018 900 PM MDT Tue Aug 28 2018 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM... ...LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 113.9W ABOUT 455 MI...730 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Norman was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 113.9 West. Norman is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and a gradual turn toward the west is expected over the next day or so followed by a turn toward the west-southwest thereafter. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Norman will likely become a hurricane tomorrow, and could become a major hurricane by Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Norman Forecast Advisory Number 3
2018-08-29 04:33:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED AUG 29 2018 080 WTPZ21 KNHC 290233 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORMAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 0300 UTC WED AUG 29 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 113.9W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 113.9W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 113.4W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.9N 115.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.2N 117.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.3N 118.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 18.1N 120.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.2N 124.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 16.0N 128.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 16.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 113.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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MIT Creates AI-Powered Psychopath Called Norman
2018-06-05 16:30:26| Extremetech
Artificial intelligence researchers have thus far attempted to make well-rounded algorithms that can be helpful to humanity. However, a team from MIT has undertaken a project to do the exact opposite. The post MIT Creates AI-Powered Psychopath Called ‘Norman’ appeared first on ExtremeTech.
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