je.st
news
Tag: arthur
Hurricane ARTHUR Public Advisory Number 17A
2014-07-05 07:50:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM EDT SAT JUL 05 2014 000 WTNT31 KNHC 050549 TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE ARTHUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 200 AM EDT SAT JUL 05 2014 ...ARTHUR RACING TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.3N 67.6W ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SW OF YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NANTUCKET * CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE * NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH... ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 42.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.6 WEST. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 31 MPH...50 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL BE NEAR OR OVER WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND OVER THE GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER THIS MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS THE WARNING AREA IN NEW ENGLAND. THESE WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING AREA IN CANADA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND SPREAD NORTHWARD LATER TODAY. IN ADDITION...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE TODAY...BEHIND A COLD FRONT OVERTAKING THE CIRCULATION OF ARTHUR. STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG CAPE COD TODAY. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...COASTAL MAINE...NOVA SCOTIA... NEWFOUNDLAND...AND NEW BRUNSWICK...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER DOWNEAST MAINE AND INTO NEW BRUNSWICK CANADA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. SWELLS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SOON. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
public
arthur
advisory
Hurricane ARTHUR Graphics
2014-07-05 05:10:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 05 Jul 2014 02:40:43 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 05 Jul 2014 03:05:48 GMT
Tags: graphics
arthur
hurricane
hurricane graphics
Hurricane ARTHUR Forecast Discussion Number 17
2014-07-05 04:37:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT FRI JUL 04 2014 000 WTNT41 KNHC 050237 TCDAT1 HURRICANE ARTHUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 1100 PM EDT FRI JUL 04 2014 Satellite and radar data indicates that Arthur has begun extratropical transition. The eye feature seen previously has dissipated, and the remaining convection is now displaced somewhat to the northeast of the low-level center. In addition, microwave total precipitable water data from a recent SSM/IS overpass shows very dry air entraining into the west and south sides of the cyclone. SFMR data from the previous Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter flight showed maximum winds of 60-65 kt, and based on this the initial intensity is reduced to a possibly generous 65 kt. The initial motion is now 045/27 kt. Arthur should continue to move northeastward during the next 24-36 hours in deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of a baroclinic trough over the northeastern United States. After that time, the post-tropical cyclone is forecast to slow down and eventually turn east-northeastward. Based on the current motion and model trends, this part of the forecast has been nudged a little to the east of the previous track. There remains a large amount of spread in the track guidance after 48 hours on whether the former Arthur will turn more northward or turn east-northeastward out into the Atlantic. The new official forecast during that period has been revised based on a blend of input from the Ocean Prediction Center along with the GFS and ECMWF models. Arthur is expected to complete extratropical transition in about 12 hours. After transition, the former tropical cyclone should steadily weaken, with winds dropping below gale force by 96 hours. The intensity forecast has been revised downward based on input from the OPC, as well as from the GFS and ECMWF models. Winds in excess of gale/tropical storm force are expected over portions of eastern Maine on Saturday. Because Arthur is expected to be extratropical by Saturday morning, and because the strong winds in Maine will be post-frontal, this threat is being handled by high wind warnings issued by local NWS offices. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0300Z 41.2N 68.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 05/1200Z 44.0N 66.0W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 06/0000Z 46.5N 63.0W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 06/1200Z 48.5N 59.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 07/0000Z 51.5N 55.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 08/0000Z 58.0N 51.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 09/0000Z 60.0N 49.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 10/0000Z 61.5N 44.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
discussion
arthur
forecast
Summary for Hurricane ARTHUR (AT1/AL012014)
2014-07-05 04:37:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ARTHUR CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD... ...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER NANTUCKET... As of 11:00 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 the center of ARTHUR was located near 41.2, -68.7 with movement NE at 31 mph. The minimum central pressure was 976 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
Tags: summary
arthur
hurricane
at1al012014
Hurricane ARTHUR Public Advisory Number 17
2014-07-05 04:37:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT FRI JUL 04 2014 000 WTNT31 KNHC 050236 TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 1100 PM EDT FRI JUL 04 2014 ...ARTHUR CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD... ...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER NANTUCKET... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.2N 68.7W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM ESE OF CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SW OF YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NANTUCKET * CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE * NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH... ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 31 MPH...50 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL PASS SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT...BE NEAR OR OVER WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA EARLY ON SATURDAY...AND OVER THE GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE SATURDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SATURDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 49 MPH...80 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 62 MPH... 100 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING ACROSS THE WARNING AREA IN NEW ENGLAND. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING AREA IN CANADA LATER TONIGHT AND SPREAD NORTHWARD ON SATURDAY. IN ADDITION...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE ON SATURDAY...BEHIND A COLD FRONT OVERTAKING THE CIRCULATION OF ARTHUR. STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG CAPE COD TONIGHT. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...COASTAL MAINE...NOVA SCOTIA... NEWFOUNDLAND...AND NEW BRUNSWICK...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER DOWNEAST MAINE AND INTO NEW BRUNSWICK CANADA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. SWELLS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CANADA TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
public
arthur
advisory
Sites : [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] [40] [41] [42] [43] next »