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Hurricane ARTHUR Graphics

2014-07-04 11:10:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 04 Jul 2014 08:57:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 04 Jul 2014 09:05:48 GMT

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Hurricane ARTHUR Forecast Discussion Number 14

2014-07-04 11:01:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM EDT FRI JUL 04 2014 000 WTNT41 KNHC 040901 TCDAT1 HURRICANE ARTHUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 500 AM EDT FRI JUL 04 2014 Arthur still has a well-defined eye in radar imagery, and the cloud pattern features an area of cold cloud tops wrapping around the northern and western portions of the circulation as some dry air works its way into the southern semicircle. Before the Air Force Hurricane Hunters left Arthur, they measured flight-level winds of 91 kt and SFMR winds of 82 kt, which support maintaining the initial intensity at 85 kt. The central pressure is set to 973 mb based on a measurement of 975.5 mb at an NOAA National Ocean Service station at Oregon Inlet with a wind of 35 kt. Another Hurricane Hunter aircraft will be sampling Arthur later this morning. Gradual weakening is expected today and tonight, and Arthur will complete extratropical transition by 36 hours. After passing Nova Scotia, post-tropical Arthur should weaken rapidly over the North Atlantic. Arthur is accelerating northeastward, with an initial motion estimate of 040/20, and a northeastward motion is expected to continue for the next 48 hours as Arthur recurves ahead of an advancing mid-latitude trough. The track model guidance is in good agreement in taking the center of Arthur well offshore of the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast today and southeast of New England tonight before moving over Nova Scotia in about 36 hours. After that time, Arthur is expected to continue across Newfoundland and into the North Atlantic. The NHC track forecast is near the center of the guidance envelope through 72 hours and is close to the GEFS ensemble mean at days 4 and 5. The new experimental potential storm surge flooding map is available at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?inundation FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/0900Z 36.0N 75.3W 85 KT 100 MPH 12H 04/1800Z 38.4N 72.3W 80 KT 90 MPH 24H 05/0600Z 42.2N 68.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 05/1800Z 45.5N 64.6W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 06/0600Z 47.5N 61.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 07/0600Z 53.5N 53.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 08/0600Z 59.0N 43.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 09/0600Z 63.0N 35.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Brennan

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Hurricane ARTHUR Public Advisory Number 14

2014-07-04 10:58:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM EDT FRI JUL 04 2014 000 WTNT31 KNHC 040858 TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 500 AM EDT FRI JUL 04 2014 ...ARTHUR MOVING OFFSHORE OF THE OUTER BANKS... ...EXPECTED TO PASS SOUTHEAST OF CAPE COD TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.0N 75.3W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM E OF KITTY HAWK NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CAPE COD HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO WOODS HOLE. THE HURRICANE WARNING WEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER * PAMLICO SOUND * EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY * WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND * NANTUCKET * CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U. S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE * ALL OF NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND * ALL OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...NEW BRUNSWICK...AND NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ARTHUR. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED BY NOAA DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.3 WEST. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL MOVE WELL OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TODAY...PASS SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT...AND BE NEAR OR OVER WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA EARLY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT OR SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM. A WEATHERFLOW STATION IN WAVES NORTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 74 MPH...119 KM/H...AND A GUST OF 84 MPH...135 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 973 MB...28.74 INCHES. A NOAA NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT OREGON INLET RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 975.5 MB...28.81 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN VIRGINIA THIS MORNING. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING AREA IN NEW ENGLAND BY TONIGHT. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... NORTH CAROLINA WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...3 TO 5 FT PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...2 TO 4 FT EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...1 TO 3 FT COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG CAPE COD. THE HIGHEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND THE NEW EXPERIMENTAL POTENTIAL STORM SURGE FLOODING MAP FOR MORE DETAILS. RAINFALL...RAINFALL WILL BE DIMINISHING OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING WITH STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES AND ISOLATED MAXIMUM OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS RHODE ISLAND...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND COASTAL MAINE. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE AFFECTING AREAS ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COASTS OF THE UNITED STATES TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 AM EDT AND 900 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Hurricane ARTHUR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

2014-07-04 10:53:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014 000 FONT11 KNHC 040853 PWSAT1 HURRICANE ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 0900 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 8(20) X(20) X(20) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 15(41) X(41) X(41) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 43(49) 10(59) X(59) X(59) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 7(20) X(20) X(20) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 38(38) 24(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 18(18) 37(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 14(14) 5(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) HALIFAX NS 34 X 4( 4) 77(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) 33(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 31(31) 64(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) YARMOUTH NS 50 X 3( 3) 70(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) 32(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) MONCTON NB 34 X 2( 2) 72(74) 4(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) 39(39) 7(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) 10(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ST JOHN NB 34 X 4( 4) 74(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) 43(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) EASTPORT ME 34 X 7( 7) 57(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) 26(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 12(12) 26(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BAR HARBOR ME 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AUGUSTA ME 34 X 6( 6) 8(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) PORTLAND ME 34 X 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CONCORD NH 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BOSTON MA 34 1 12(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) HYANNIS MA 34 2 62(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) HYANNIS MA 50 X 19(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) HYANNIS MA 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 2 84(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) NANTUCKET MA 50 X 50(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) NANTUCKET MA 64 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) PROVIDENCE RI 34 2 14(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) HARTFORD CT 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 2 16(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MONTAUK POINT 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW YORK CITY 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEWARK NJ 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HATTERAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HATTERAS 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Hurricane ARTHUR Forecast Advisory Number 14

2014-07-04 10:53:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014 000 WTNT21 KNHC 040853 TCMAT1 HURRICANE ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 0900 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CAPE COD HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO WOODS HOLE. THE HURRICANE WARNING WEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER * PAMLICO SOUND * EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY * WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND * NANTUCKET * CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U. S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE * ALL OF NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND * ALL OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...NEW BRUNSWICK...AND NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ARTHUR. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 75.3W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 35SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 80SE 60SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 110SE 90SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 180SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 75.3W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 76.0W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 38.4N 72.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 42.2N 68.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 45.5N 64.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 45NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 47.5N 61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 180SE 240SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 53.5N 53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 59.0N 43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 63.0N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N 75.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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