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Tropical Storm LINDA Graphics
2015-09-06 22:54:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 06 Sep 2015 20:36:24 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 06 Sep 2015 20:53:52 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm LINDA (EP5/EP152015)
2015-09-06 22:37:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...LINDA STRENGTHENING... As of 3:00 PM MDT Sun Sep 6 the center of LINDA was located near 14.8, -109.7 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm LINDA Public Advisory Number 4
2015-09-06 22:37:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT SUN SEP 06 2015 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 062037 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 300 PM MDT SUN SEP 06 2015 ...LINDA STRENGTHENING... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.8N 109.7W ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Linda was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 109.7 West. Linda is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Linda could become a hurricane on Monday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm LINDA Forecast Discussion Number 4
2015-09-06 22:36:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT SUN SEP 06 2015 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 062036 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 300 PM MDT SUN SEP 06 2015 Linda is strengthening. Satellite images indicate that banding features have become better defined during the last several hours, and deep convection has been persisting near the center. The circulation and cloud field of Linda are quite large, extending several hundred miles across. The Dvorak classifications at 1800 UTC have increased to 3.5/55 kt from TAFB, 3.0/45 kt from SAB, and ADT values from UW-CIMSS are around 3.4/53 kt. Based on these estimates, the initial wind speed is raised to 50 kt. Additional strengthening is likely during the next couple of days as the shear is expected to remain relatively light while the cyclone is embedded within a moist air mass and over warm waters. After 48 hours, however, Linda is expected to move over progressively cooler water and into a drier and more stable air mass. These conditions should end the strengthening trend, and induce a gradual weakening. The NHC intensity forecast shows a higher peak intensity than the previous one and leans toward the upper end of the guidance, in best agreement with the SHIPS model. Linda continues to move northwestward at about 9 kt on the southwestern side of a mid-level high pressure system located over northern Mexico and the southern United States. The ridge is expected to be nearly stationary during the next couple of days, which should keep Linda moving northwestward at a similar or slightly faster forward speed. After that time, a slowdown is predicted as the ridge weakens some and shifts westward. The NHC track forecast has again been shifted a little to the north of the previous one, trending toward the latest guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/2100Z 14.8N 109.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 07/0600Z 16.1N 110.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 07/1800Z 18.0N 112.7W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 08/0600Z 19.7N 114.2W 85 KT 100 MPH 48H 08/1800Z 21.1N 115.5W 85 KT 100 MPH 72H 09/1800Z 23.0N 117.2W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 10/1800Z 24.6N 119.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 11/1800Z 25.4N 122.0W 40 KT 45 MPH $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm LINDA Forecast Advisory Number 4
2015-09-06 22:33:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 062033 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 2100 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 109.7W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 109.7W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 109.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.1N 110.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.0N 112.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.7N 114.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.1N 115.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N 117.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 24.6N 119.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 25.4N 122.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 109.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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