je.st
news
Tag: linda
Hurricane LINDA Public Advisory Number 12
2015-09-08 22:37:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT TUE SEP 08 2015 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 082037 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 300 PM MDT TUE SEP 08 2015 ...OUTER RAINBANDS FROM LINDA BRUSHING THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.9N 114.8W ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Linda was located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 114.8 West. Linda is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Thursday with a gradual decrease in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Linda is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Weakening is forecast to begin tonight, with rapid weakening expected on Wednesday and Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). Brief heavy squalls with winds to near tropical storm force could occur in some of the outer rainbands moving onshore the southern Baja California peninsula. The estimated minimum central pressure is 951 mb (28.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Linda are affecting the coast of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula. These swells are expected to spread northward during the next couple of days and are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Outer rainbands from Linda will affect portions of the southern Baja California peninsula through tonight. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
public
linda
advisory
Hurricane LINDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2015-09-08 22:37:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 08 2015 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 082037 PWSEP5 HURRICANE LINDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 2100 UTC TUE SEP 08 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Hurricane LINDA Graphics
2015-09-08 16:53:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2015 14:32:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2015 14:52:17 GMT
Tags: graphics
linda
hurricane
Hurricane LINDA Forecast Discussion Number 11
2015-09-08 16:34:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT TUE SEP 08 2015 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 081434 TCDEP5 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 900 AM MDT TUE SEP 08 2015 The satellite presentation of Linda has improved this morning, with an eye becoming apparent in infrared imagery. Dvorak satellite classifications were T6.0/115 kt from TAFB and T5.5/102 kt from SAB, and the UW-CIMSS ADT estimates have increased to T5.9/112 kt. The initial intensity is set conservatively to 105 kt given the rapid change in the satellite presentation and the variation seen in the definition of the eye in recent images. This makes Linda the fifth major hurricane in the eastern North Pacific basin this year. It would appear that Linda is peaking in intensity now, as the cyclone will be moving over progressively cooler SSTs and into a drier more stable environment over the next several days. Slow weakening is forecast today, followed by more rapid weakening due to the above-mentioned unfavorable factors. The new NHC forecast is higher than the previous one through 24 hours to account for the initial intensity, but is similar to the previous official forecast after that time. Linda should become a remnant low in about 3 days over very cool waters west of the Baja California peninsula. Linda has been moving a little faster during the past few hours, with an initial motion estimate of 335/12. The tropical cyclone should turn toward the northwest later today under the influence of a subtropical ridge centered over Mexico. The remnant low is then forecast to turn west-northwestward and westward by the end of the period as it is steered by the low-level flow. The track model guidance has continued to shift toward the right this cycle, and is also a bit faster. The new NHC forecast has been adjusted to account for those trends, and now lies on the left side of the guidance envelope, between the ECMWF and the multi-model consensus. Although Linda is forecast to remain well offshore of the Baja California peninsula, large swells are expected to affect portions of the west coast of that peninsula during the next few days. The analyzed 12-ft seas radii were increased based on data from a recent Jason-2 satellite altimeter pass. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/1500Z 21.3N 113.9W 105 KT 120 MPH 12H 09/0000Z 22.3N 114.8W 95 KT 110 MPH 24H 09/1200Z 23.7N 116.0W 80 KT 90 MPH 36H 10/0000Z 25.0N 117.2W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 10/1200Z 26.1N 118.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 11/1200Z 27.3N 120.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 12/1200Z 27.5N 122.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 13/1200Z 27.5N 124.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
discussion
linda
forecast
Summary for Hurricane LINDA (EP5/EP152015)
2015-09-08 16:31:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...LINDA RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS TO MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS... As of 9:00 AM MDT Tue Sep 8 the center of LINDA was located near 21.3, -113.9 with movement NNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 956 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 120 mph.
Tags: summary
linda
hurricane
ep5ep152015
Sites : [84] [85] [86] [87] [88] [89] [90] [91] [92] [93] [94] [95] [96] [97] [98] [99] [100] [101] [102] [103] next »