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Tropical Depression Five Forecast Advisory Number 6
2020-07-05 22:30:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUL 05 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 052030 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052020 2100 UTC SUN JUL 05 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 60.5W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 60.5W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 61.9W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 37.9N 56.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 41.1N 48.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 80SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 44.5N 41.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 48.0N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N 60.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression Five Graphics
2020-07-05 16:36:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 05 Jul 2020 14:36:13 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 05 Jul 2020 14:36:14 GMT
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Tropical Depression Five Forecast Discussion Number 5
2020-07-05 16:35:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Jul 05 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 051434 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Five Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 1100 AM AST Sun Jul 05 2020 The depression is accelerating northeastward, away from Bermuda. It continues to produce deep convection primarily to the south of its center with little change in organization since yesterday. The most recent TAFB Dvorak classification supports maintaining the intensity at 30 kt. Scatterometer data that will likely arrive after the issuance of this advisory may provide more information about the current surface wind structure of the cyclone. No substantial changes were made to the NHC forecast. The cyclone will continue to accelerate northeastward or east-northeastward during the next day or two. It is possible that the depression could open into a trough at some point today as its forward speed increases, but most of the dynamical guidance indicates it will persist long enough to undergo extratropical transition on Monday. Minimal strengthening is possible today as the forward speed of the depression increases and it begins to get some positive baroclinic support. In fact, nearly all of the global models indicate that the system will produce tropical-storm-force winds around the time it becomes fully extratropical, and this is reflected in the official forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/1500Z 34.5N 63.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 06/0000Z 36.6N 59.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 06/1200Z 39.5N 53.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 07/0000Z 42.5N 46.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 07/1200Z 45.8N 39.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Summary for Tropical Depression Five (AT5/AL052020)
2020-07-05 16:34:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA... As of 11:00 AM AST Sun Jul 5 the center of Five was located near 34.5, -63.0 with movement NE at 21 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Five Public Advisory Number 5
2020-07-05 16:34:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Jul 05 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 051433 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Five Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 1100 AM AST Sun Jul 05 2020 ...DEPRESSION ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.5N 63.0W ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM NE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five was located near latitude 34.5 North, longitude 63.0 West. The depression is moving quickly toward the northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h). A faster northeastward or east-northeastward motion is expected for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the depression will accelerate away from Bermuda today. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today. The depression could become a tropical storm today or tonight before it becomes post-tropical on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Gusty winds associated with Tropical Depression Five in and around Bermuda should decrease through the afternoon. For more information please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. RAIN: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce total rain accumulations of less than 1 inch with possible isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches in Bermuda. Showers associated with the depression should decrease through the afternoon. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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