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Summary for Tropical Depression Five (AT5/AL052020)
2020-07-05 10:36:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING NORTH OF BERMUDA... As of 5:00 AM AST Sun Jul 5 the center of Five was located near 33.3, -64.9 with movement NE at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Five Public Advisory Number 4
2020-07-05 10:36:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sun Jul 05 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 050836 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Five Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 500 AM AST Sun Jul 05 2020 ...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING NORTH OF BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.3N 64.9W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM N OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five was located near latitude 33.3 North, longitude 64.9 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h) and this general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will move away from Bermuda this morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The depression could become a tropical storm today. However, the system is expected to lose tropical cyclone characteristics on Monday as it merges with a cold front. An automated weather station just northwest of Bermuda recently reported a wind gust of 43 mph (69 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical Depression Five is causing gusty winds on Bermuda and over the nearby waters this morning. The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Gale Warning. For more information please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. RAIN: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce total rain accumulations of less than 1 inch with possible isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches in Bermuda. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Depression Five Forecast Advisory Number 4
2020-07-05 10:36:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 05 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 050836 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052020 0900 UTC SUN JUL 05 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 64.9W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 64.9W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 65.8W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 35.4N 61.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 38.3N 56.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 41.4N 49.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 44.4N 43.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 64.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Depression Five Graphics
2020-07-05 04:39:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 05 Jul 2020 02:39:03 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 05 Jul 2020 02:39:03 GMT
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Tropical Depression Five Forecast Discussion Number 3
2020-07-05 04:38:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sat Jul 04 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 050238 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Five Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 1100 PM AST Sat Jul 04 2020 The depression remains poorly organized, with a shrinking area of deep convection to the south of the partially exposed center. The intensity remains 30 kt pending receipt of scatterometer data this evening, perhaps generously. The cyclone should accelerate to the east-northeast over the next couple of days as it encounters stronger mid-level flow. Track guidance is tightly clustered, and no significant changes were made to the previous forecast. After tonight's diurnal convective maximum period, the chances of the depression to strengthen are fairly low due to increasing shear and cooler waters. Thus only a slight increase in wind speed is forecast, similar to the model consensus. Extratropical transition is shown in a couple of days due to the system becoming embedded in a front and a mid-level trough. It is possible, however, that the depression will open up into a trough on Sunday, as suggested by the latest GFS model, but for now this forecast maintains continuity with the previous one. Locally heavy rain and gusty winds from the depression should start on Bermuda during the next few hours. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0300Z 32.5N 66.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/1200Z 34.0N 63.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 06/0000Z 37.0N 59.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 06/1200Z 39.7N 53.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 07/0000Z 42.5N 47.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
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