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Tropical Depression Five Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-07-04 16:48:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUL 04 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 041448 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052020 1500 UTC SAT JUL 04 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 68.7W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 68.7W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 69.4W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 32.1N 66.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 34.0N 63.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.4N 59.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.2N 52.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 41.7N 46.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 68.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Depression Four-E Graphics
2020-06-30 16:32:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 30 Jun 2020 14:32:50 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 30 Jun 2020 14:32:50 GMT
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Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Discussion Number 3
2020-06-30 16:31:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 301431 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Four-E Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020 900 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 The depression's center remains exposed, with any limited convection displaced more than 90 n mi northeast of the center. Effectively, the system is on its way to becoming a remnant low this afternoon if convection does not re-form closer to the center. The initial wind speed remains 25 kt. The low should gradually spin down during the next day or two over cool waters while it moves slowly northwestward. Only a small northeastward shift was made to the track forecast, and the low should degenerate into a trough of low pressure in a couple of days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/1500Z 20.8N 112.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 01/0000Z 20.9N 113.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 01/1200Z 21.0N 113.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 02/0000Z 21.2N 113.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Depression Four-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2020-06-30 16:31:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 301431 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042020 1500 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Summary for Tropical Depression Four-E (EP4/EP042020)
2020-06-30 16:31:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 9:00 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 the center of Four-E was located near 20.8, -112.9 with movement NW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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