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Tropical Storm Karen Forecast Advisory Number 1
2019-09-22 10:57:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 WTNT22 KNHC 220857 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019 0900 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO. THE TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO * GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY FOR OTHER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KAREN. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 60.2W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 60.2W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 59.8W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.5N 61.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.4N 63.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.7N 64.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.1N 65.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.9N 65.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 23.4N 65.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 25.6N 65.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 60.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 22/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm Karen Public Advisory Number 1
2019-09-22 10:57:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTNT32 KNHC 220857 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Karen Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122019 500 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019 ...TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORMS JUST EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.9N 60.2W ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM E OF GRENADA ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SE OF ST. VINCENT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Trinidad and Tobago has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Trinidad and Tobago. The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Grenada and its dependencies. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Trinidad and Tobago * Grenada and its dependencies A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. Tropical Storm Warnings may be issued later today for other portions of the Windward Islands. A Tropical Storm Watch will likely be issued later today for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Elsewhere, interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of Karen. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of newly formed Tropical Storm Karen was located near latitude 11.9 North, longitude 60.2 West. Karen is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the northwest is forecast to occur on Monday, followed by a turn toward the north on Tuesday. On the forecast track, Karen will move across the Windward Islands this afternoon and tonight, and emerge over the southeastern Caribbean Sea Monday morning. On Tuesday, Karen is expected to approach Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. Barbados recently reported a sustained wind of 37 mph (59 km/h) and a gust to 45 mph (72 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach those islands within the warning area later this morning and afternoon, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. RAINFALL: Karen is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Wednesday: Windward Islands...3 to 6 inches, isolated 8 inches. Leeward Islands...1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches. Far northeastern Venezuela and Barbados...1 to 3 inches. These rains may cause flash flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Karen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2019-09-22 10:57:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 FONT12 KNHC 220857 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019 0900 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 1(17) X(17) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 28(35) 1(36) X(36) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 29(35) 2(37) X(37) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 23(36) 1(37) 1(38) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 1(14) X(14) SABA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 1(15) X(15) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ANTIGUA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUADELOUPE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) AVES 34 X 2( 2) 20(22) 11(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) AVES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOMINICA 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MARTINIQUE 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT LUCIA 34 19 7(26) X(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SAINT VINCENT 34 53 11(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) BARBADOS 34 37 X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) GRENADA 34 18 20(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 17 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Boohoo closes Karen Millen, Coast acquisitions in GBP18.2m deal
2019-08-06 16:12:00| Daily apparel & textile news and comment - from just-style.com
Boohoo has announced the acquisition of the Karen Millen and Coast brands in a GBP18.2m (US$22.1m) deal, just hours after it confirmed it had put in a bid.
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Boohoo buys Karen Millen and Coast in GBP18.2m deal
2019-08-06 16:12:00| Daily apparel & textile news and comment - from just-style.com
UK-based online fashion retailer Boohoo has acquired the online business of the Karen Millen and Coast fashion brands in a GBP18.2m (US$22.1m) deal.
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