je.st
news
Tag: bill
Tropical Depression BILL Graphics
2015-06-17 10:35:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 17 Jun 2015 08:35:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 17 Jun 2015 08:33:44 GMT
Tags: bill
graphics
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression BILL Forecast Discussion Number 6
2015-06-17 10:34:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015 000 WTNT42 KNHC 170834 TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022015 400 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015 While radar data show that Bill is maintaining a good convective banding structure, surface observations indicate that the cyclone has weakened to a tropical depression over central Texas. The initial intensity is 30 kt, with these winds occurring in rainbands near and east of the center. The large-scale models suggest that only slow weakening will occur during the next 24-36 hours, and Bill is likely to remain a tropical cyclone until the center moves into eastern Oklahoma on Thursday. After that, the cyclone is expected to degenerate to a remnant low, with the low being absorbed by a frontal system over the eastern United States in about 96 hours. The initial motion is 360/11. Bill is expected to moved northward for the next 12-24 hours on the west side of the subtropical ridge. Subsequently, the cyclone should turn northeastward as it enters the westerlies. The track model guidance is in good agreement with this scenario, and the new forecast track lies close to the model consensus. The main hazard from Bill is expected to be heavy rainfall and flooding across portions of eastern Texas and eastern Oklahoma over the next day or two. Please see products from your local National Weather Service office for more information on the flood threat. This is the last advisory on Bill issued by the National Hurricane Center. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 10 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header WTNT32 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/0900Z 31.0N 97.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 12H 17/1800Z 32.6N 97.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 18/0600Z 34.3N 96.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 36H 18/1800Z 35.5N 95.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 19/0600Z 36.5N 93.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 72H 20/0600Z 38.5N 89.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 96H 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
discussion
bill
tropical
Tropical Depression BILL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2015-06-17 10:34:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUN 17 2015 000 FONT12 KNHC 170833 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022015 0900 UTC WED JUN 17 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Summary for Tropical Depression BILL (AT2/AL022015)
2015-06-17 10:33:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CENTER OF BILL MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS... As of 4:00 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 the center of BILL was located near 31.0, -97.1 with movement N at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
bill
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression BILL Public Advisory Number 6
2015-06-17 10:33:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015 000 WTNT32 KNHC 170833 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022015 400 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015 ...CENTER OF BILL MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.0N 97.1W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM S OF WACO TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Bill was located near latitude 31.0 North, longitude 97.1 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue today with a turn to the northeast on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a post-tropical low on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Bill is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over eastern Texas and eastern Oklahoma and 3 to 6 inches over western Arkansas and southern Missouri. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in Texas and Oklahoma. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods. WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force are occurring in rainbands to the east of the center. These gusts should subside today. STORM SURGE: Above normal tides along the Upper Texas and Western Louisiana coasts should subside today. TORNADOES: A brief tornado or two may occur over parts of eastern Texas and eastern Oklahoma today and tonight. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 10 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header WTNT32 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
public
bill
advisory
Sites : [207] [208] [209] [210] [211] [212] [213] [214] [215] [216] [217] [218] [219] [220] [221] [222] [223] [224] [225] [226] next »