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Hurricane Lee Public Advisory Number 41
2017-09-28 10:37:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Sep 28 2017 000 WTNT34 KNHC 280837 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Lee Advisory Number 41 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142017 500 AM AST Thu Sep 28 2017 ...LEE EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.5N 57.2W ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM E OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1735 MI...2795 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lee was located near latitude 32.5 North, longitude 57.2 West. Lee is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A faster motion toward the north-northeast or northeast is expected to begin later today. Maximum sustained winds remain near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb (28.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Hurricane Lee Wind Speed Probabilities Number 41
2017-09-28 10:37:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 28 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 280837 PWSAT4 HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 0900 UTC THU SEP 28 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS ...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Hurricane Lee Forecast Advisory Number 41
2017-09-28 10:36:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 28 2017 000 WTNT24 KNHC 280836 TCMAT4 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 0900 UTC THU SEP 28 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 57.2W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 220NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 57.2W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 57.3W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 34.5N 56.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.4N 53.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 35SE 30SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 41.0N 47.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 70SE 60SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 110SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.7N 39.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 120SE 120SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N 57.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Hurricane Lee Graphics
2017-09-28 04:38:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 28 Sep 2017 02:38:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 28 Sep 2017 02:38:39 GMT
Summary for Hurricane Lee (AT4/AL142017)
2017-09-28 04:33:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LEE WEAKENS A LITTLE BUT EXPECTED TO REMAIN A POWERFUL HURRICANE FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO... As of 11:00 PM AST Wed Sep 27 the center of Lee was located near 31.7, -57.3 with movement NNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 966 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 110 mph.
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