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Summary for Hurricane Lee (AT4/AL142017)

2017-09-27 10:35:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...STILL AN OPPORTUNITY FOR LEE TO STRENGTHEN TODAY... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Sep 27 the center of Lee was located near 30.2, -56.3 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 971 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 110 mph.

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Hurricane Lee Public Advisory Number 37

2017-09-27 10:35:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Sep 27 2017 000 WTNT34 KNHC 270835 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Lee Advisory Number 37 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142017 500 AM AST Wed Sep 27 2017 ...STILL AN OPPORTUNITY FOR LEE TO STRENGTHEN TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.2N 56.3W ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM ESE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1750 MI...2820 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lee was located near latitude 30.2 North, longitude 56.3 West. Lee is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). The hurricane is expected to turn northwestward on Wednesday and northward on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Lee still could become a major hurricane later today before weakening commences on Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Hurricane Lee Wind Speed Probabilities Number 37

2017-09-27 10:35:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 27 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 270835 PWSAT4 HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 0900 UTC WED SEP 27 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS ...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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Hurricane Lee Forecast Advisory Number 37

2017-09-27 10:34:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 27 2017 000 WTNT24 KNHC 270834 TCMAT4 HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 0900 UTC WED SEP 27 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 56.3W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 56.3W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 56.0W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 30.8N 57.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 32.1N 57.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 34.5N 56.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 80SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.8N 53.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 46.3N 39.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 70SE 70SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 140SE 160SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 56.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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