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Tropical Storm Eta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 29
2020-11-07 18:59:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1800 UTC SAT NOV 07 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 071759 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 1800 UTC SAT NOV 07 2020 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 4(11) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) 4(14) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 2(13) 2(15) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 9(17) 2(19) 2(21) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 9(17) 2(19) 2(21) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 11(26) 2(28) 1(29) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) W PALM BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 23(30) 13(43) 2(45) X(45) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 29(40) 13(53) 1(54) X(54) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16) X(16) X(16) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MIAMI FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 24(28) 13(41) 1(42) 1(43) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 24(29) 13(42) 1(43) X(43) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MARATHON FL 34 1 2( 3) 11(14) 17(31) 10(41) 2(43) 1(44) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) X(13) 1(14) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 1 1( 2) 7( 9) 11(20) 10(30) 4(34) 1(35) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NAPLES FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 13(17) 26(43) 3(46) 1(47) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) X(14) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 23(30) 3(33) 1(34) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 28(35) 5(40) 2(42) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) 1(11) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20(24) 5(29) 3(32) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16) 6(22) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 6( 9) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 6(10) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 6(18) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 7(17) 6(23) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 6(15) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 18(29) 6(35) 1(36) X(36) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 5( 5) 19(24) 10(34) 2(36) 1(37) X(37) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANDROS 34 1 11(12) 25(37) 6(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45) ANDROS 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ANDROS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GREAT EXUMA 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) SAN SALVADOR 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) HAVANA 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 4(12) 3(15) 1(16) ISLE OF PINES 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) X(10) CIENFUEGOS 34 3 53(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) 1(58) X(58) CIENFUEGOS 50 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CIENFUEGOS 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CAMAGUEY 34 X 20(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) GRAND CAYMAN 34 54 X(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) MONTEGO BAY 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KINGSTON 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tropical Storm Eta Forecast Advisory Number 29
2020-11-07 18:58:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1800 UTC SAT NOV 07 2020 566 WTNT24 KNHC 071758 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 1800 UTC SAT NOV 07 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE CAYMAN ISLANDS * THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS. * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE * FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH TO CHOKOLOSKEE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY * THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...MAYABEQUE...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH * FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH FLORIDA TO THE BREVARD/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE * FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ENGLEWOOD * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 81.1W AT 07/1800Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 70SE 20SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 81.1W AT 07/1800Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 83.2W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.8N 80.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.5N 79.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.8N 79.3W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.0N 80.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...200NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.8N 81.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...200NE 120SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 26.2N 83.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 70SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 26.5N 84.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 28.5N 84.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 81.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 07/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Summary for Tropical Storm Eta (AT4/AL292020)
2020-11-07 17:15:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FIND STRONGER WINDS IN ETA... As of 11:00 AM EST Sat Nov 7 the center of Eta was located near 19.7, -81.5 with movement NE at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Eta Update Statement
2020-11-07 17:15:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM EST Sat Nov 07 2020 000 WTNT64 KNHC 071614 CCA TCUAT4 Tropical Storm Eta Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020 1100 AM EST Sat Nov 07 2020 Corrected storm type header ...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FIND STRONGER WINDS IN ETA... Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds in Eta have increased to 50 mph. The plane is still investigating Eta at this time. If it finds stronger winds, a special advisory may be required during the next hour or two. SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EST...1600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.7N 81.5W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNW OF GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...80 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 55 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Eta Graphics
2020-11-07 16:18:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 07 Nov 2020 15:18:35 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 07 Nov 2020 15:45:14 GMT
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